Virginia's 3rd congressional district, encompassing urban and suburban areas of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and parts of Newport News, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its voting history and D+18 or greater partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent of the vote in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera operates with minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic on the existing map following the rejection of proposed redistricting changes. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or campaign data indicating a viable challenge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican national environment could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$63,234 KL.
$63,234 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$63,234 KL.
$63,234 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,571 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$41,664 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district, encompassing urban and suburban areas of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and parts of Newport News, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its voting history and D+18 or greater partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent of the vote in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera operates with minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic on the existing map following the rejection of proposed redistricting changes. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or campaign data indicating a viable challenge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican national environment could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$63,234Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district, encompassing urban and suburban areas of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and parts of Newport News, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its voting history and D+18 or greater partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent of the vote in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera operates with minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic on the existing map following the rejection of proposed redistricting changes. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or campaign data indicating a viable challenge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican national environment could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$63,234Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district, encompassing urban and suburban areas of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and parts of Newport News, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its voting history and D+18 or greater partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent of the vote in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Edwin Rivera operates with minimal fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic on the existing map following the rejection of proposed redistricting changes. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or campaign data indicating a viable challenge. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican national environment could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp