Incumbent Republican Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, a western Virginia seat covering the Shenandoah Valley and anchored by Roanoke that carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and supported Donald Trump by wide margins in recent presidential contests. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican performance and Cline’s 2024 margin exceeding 28 points. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, winner of the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent House elections. The August primary and November general election timelines remain the primary near-term milestones, with no major late developments altering the partisan baseline. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85% implied probability, consistent with these entrenched electoral fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-06 House Election Winner
VA-06 House Election Winner
$83,739 KL.
$83,739 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
13%
$83,739 KL.
$83,739 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$29,333 KL.
84%
Democratic Party
$54,407 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, a western Virginia seat covering the Shenandoah Valley and anchored by Roanoke that carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and supported Donald Trump by wide margins in recent presidential contests. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican performance and Cline’s 2024 margin exceeding 28 points. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, winner of the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent House elections. The August primary and November general election timelines remain the primary near-term milestones, with no major late developments altering the partisan baseline. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85% implied probability, consistent with these entrenched electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$83,739Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, a western Virginia seat covering the Shenandoah Valley and anchored by Roanoke that carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and supported Donald Trump by wide margins in recent presidential contests. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican performance and Cline’s 2024 margin exceeding 28 points. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, winner of the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent House elections. The August primary and November general election timelines remain the primary near-term milestones, with no major late developments altering the partisan baseline. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85% implied probability, consistent with these entrenched electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$83,739Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ben Cline seeks re-election in Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, a western Virginia seat covering the Shenandoah Valley and anchored by Roanoke that carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and supported Donald Trump by wide margins in recent presidential contests. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent Republican performance and Cline’s 2024 margin exceeding 28 points. Democratic nominee Beth Macy, winner of the August primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent House elections. The August primary and November general election timelines remain the primary near-term milestones, with no major late developments altering the partisan baseline. Trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 85% implied probability, consistent with these entrenched electoral fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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