Virginia's 5th congressional district, encompassing rural Southside areas including Charlottesville, Danville, and Lynchburg, leans Republican under the current court-drawn map after the state Supreme Court invalidated a redistricting amendment that would have boosted Democratic prospects. Incumbent Republican John McGuire, who won 57% in 2024 amid a district Trump carried by 12 points, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero on August 4, while former Rep. Tom Perriello leads the Democratic primary field. Fundraising and polling averages reflect McGuire's edge in the GOP contest and the seat's structural partisan tilt, with forecasters rating it solid or likely Republican. The August primaries and November general election timeline keep focus on nominee selection and turnout in this battleground-leaning but GOP-favored district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$58,108 KL.
$58,108 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
24%
$58,108 KL.
$58,108 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$27,992 KL.
76%
Democratic Party
$30,116 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district, encompassing rural Southside areas including Charlottesville, Danville, and Lynchburg, leans Republican under the current court-drawn map after the state Supreme Court invalidated a redistricting amendment that would have boosted Democratic prospects. Incumbent Republican John McGuire, who won 57% in 2024 amid a district Trump carried by 12 points, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero on August 4, while former Rep. Tom Perriello leads the Democratic primary field. Fundraising and polling averages reflect McGuire's edge in the GOP contest and the seat's structural partisan tilt, with forecasters rating it solid or likely Republican. The August primaries and November general election timeline keep focus on nominee selection and turnout in this battleground-leaning but GOP-favored district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$58,108Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district, encompassing rural Southside areas including Charlottesville, Danville, and Lynchburg, leans Republican under the current court-drawn map after the state Supreme Court invalidated a redistricting amendment that would have boosted Democratic prospects. Incumbent Republican John McGuire, who won 57% in 2024 amid a district Trump carried by 12 points, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero on August 4, while former Rep. Tom Perriello leads the Democratic primary field. Fundraising and polling averages reflect McGuire's edge in the GOP contest and the seat's structural partisan tilt, with forecasters rating it solid or likely Republican. The August primaries and November general election timeline keep focus on nominee selection and turnout in this battleground-leaning but GOP-favored district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$58,108Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district, encompassing rural Southside areas including Charlottesville, Danville, and Lynchburg, leans Republican under the current court-drawn map after the state Supreme Court invalidated a redistricting amendment that would have boosted Democratic prospects. Incumbent Republican John McGuire, who won 57% in 2024 amid a district Trump carried by 12 points, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero on August 4, while former Rep. Tom Perriello leads the Democratic primary field. Fundraising and polling averages reflect McGuire's edge in the GOP contest and the seat's structural partisan tilt, with forecasters rating it solid or likely Republican. The August primaries and November general election timeline keep focus on nominee selection and turnout in this battleground-leaning but GOP-favored district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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