The VA-05 race features incumbent Republican John McGuire facing a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrats including Tom Perriello advance through their own primary on the same date toward the November 3 general. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with its R+6 Partisan Voter Index and the 12-point margin by which Donald Trump carried it in 2024. A mid-decade redistricting effort approved by voters in April was invalidated by the Virginia Supreme Court in May, leaving the existing map in place and preserving the structural advantage for Republicans. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at current levels, with limited recent developments altering the baseline positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$55,509 KL.
$55,509 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
28%
$55,509 KL.
$55,509 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$26,615 KL.
68%
Democratic Party
$28,893 KL.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The VA-05 race features incumbent Republican John McGuire facing a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrats including Tom Perriello advance through their own primary on the same date toward the November 3 general. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with its R+6 Partisan Voter Index and the 12-point margin by which Donald Trump carried it in 2024. A mid-decade redistricting effort approved by voters in April was invalidated by the Virginia Supreme Court in May, leaving the existing map in place and preserving the structural advantage for Republicans. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at current levels, with limited recent developments altering the baseline positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$55,509Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The VA-05 race features incumbent Republican John McGuire facing a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrats including Tom Perriello advance through their own primary on the same date toward the November 3 general. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with its R+6 Partisan Voter Index and the 12-point margin by which Donald Trump carried it in 2024. A mid-decade redistricting effort approved by voters in April was invalidated by the Virginia Supreme Court in May, leaving the existing map in place and preserving the structural advantage for Republicans. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at current levels, with limited recent developments altering the baseline positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$55,509Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The VA-05 race features incumbent Republican John McGuire facing a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrats including Tom Perriello advance through their own primary on the same date toward the November 3 general. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with its R+6 Partisan Voter Index and the 12-point margin by which Donald Trump carried it in 2024. A mid-decade redistricting effort approved by voters in April was invalidated by the Virginia Supreme Court in May, leaving the existing map in place and preserving the structural advantage for Republicans. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at current levels, with limited recent developments altering the baseline positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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