Oregon's 5th congressional district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and is rated Likely Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, which upgraded the seat after Kamala Harris performed solidly there and no strong Republican challengers emerged. Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning her to defend the seat in November. These structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition explain why traders assign the Democratic Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory, while the Republican nominee trails at 9.7%. Scheduled general-election developments through fall could still influence final positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-05 House Election Winner
OR-05 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
10%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$367 KL.
85%
Republican Party
$137 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 5th congressional district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and is rated Likely Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, which upgraded the seat after Kamala Harris performed solidly there and no strong Republican challengers emerged. Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning her to defend the seat in November. These structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition explain why traders assign the Democratic Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory, while the Republican nominee trails at 9.7%. Scheduled general-election developments through fall could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$504Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 5th congressional district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and is rated Likely Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, which upgraded the seat after Kamala Harris performed solidly there and no strong Republican challengers emerged. Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning her to defend the seat in November. These structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition explain why traders assign the Democratic Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory, while the Republican nominee trails at 9.7%. Scheduled general-election developments through fall could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$504Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 5th congressional district carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and is rated Likely Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, which upgraded the seat after Kamala Harris performed solidly there and no strong Republican challengers emerged. Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary, positioning her to defend the seat in November. These structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition explain why traders assign the Democratic Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory, while the Republican nominee trails at 9.7%. Scheduled general-election developments through fall could still influence final positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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