Brad Finstad, the Republican incumbent, holds an 82% implied probability in the MN-01 House race due to the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and his 17-point 2024 victory. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, citing Finstad’s strong primary performance and established support in southern Minnesota’s agricultural and rural counties. Jake Johnson, the Democratic nominee and political newcomer, has narrowed the gap through aggressive grassroots outreach, including dozens of town halls, and near-parity in fundraising at roughly $2 million each. A high-profile endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson has drawn national Democratic attention, but polling averages and models still project Finstad winning by double digits. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$42,428 KL.
$42,428 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
82%
Jake Johnson (D)
18%
$42,428 KL.
$42,428 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
$16,042 KL.
82%
Jake Johnson (D)
$26,386 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Finstad, the Republican incumbent, holds an 82% implied probability in the MN-01 House race due to the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and his 17-point 2024 victory. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, citing Finstad’s strong primary performance and established support in southern Minnesota’s agricultural and rural counties. Jake Johnson, the Democratic nominee and political newcomer, has narrowed the gap through aggressive grassroots outreach, including dozens of town halls, and near-parity in fundraising at roughly $2 million each. A high-profile endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson has drawn national Democratic attention, but polling averages and models still project Finstad winning by double digits. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,428Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Finstad, the Republican incumbent, holds an 82% implied probability in the MN-01 House race due to the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and his 17-point 2024 victory. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, citing Finstad’s strong primary performance and established support in southern Minnesota’s agricultural and rural counties. Jake Johnson, the Democratic nominee and political newcomer, has narrowed the gap through aggressive grassroots outreach, including dozens of town halls, and near-parity in fundraising at roughly $2 million each. A high-profile endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson has drawn national Democratic attention, but polling averages and models still project Finstad winning by double digits. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,428Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Finstad, the Republican incumbent, holds an 82% implied probability in the MN-01 House race due to the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and his 17-point 2024 victory. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, citing Finstad’s strong primary performance and established support in southern Minnesota’s agricultural and rural counties. Jake Johnson, the Democratic nominee and political newcomer, has narrowed the gap through aggressive grassroots outreach, including dozens of town halls, and near-parity in fundraising at roughly $2 million each. A high-profile endorsement from former Republican Governor Arne Carlson has drawn national Democratic attention, but polling averages and models still project Finstad winning by double digits. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited room for late shifts absent major developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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