Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad seeks reelection in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+6 partisan voting index that Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Finstad’s 17-point 2024 victory margin and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the 58.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Democrats added the district to their target list in February 2026 amid voter concerns over costs and tariffs, prompting early polling that narrowed the gap, yet subsequent surveys and nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato continue to classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. Primaries scheduled for August 11 leave the general election contest on November 3, 2026, with limited recent developments shifting the underlying dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
57%
Democratic Party
39%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,050 KL.
57%
Democratic Party
$4,495 KL.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad seeks reelection in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+6 partisan voting index that Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Finstad’s 17-point 2024 victory margin and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the 58.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Democrats added the district to their target list in February 2026 amid voter concerns over costs and tariffs, prompting early polling that narrowed the gap, yet subsequent surveys and nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato continue to classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. Primaries scheduled for August 11 leave the general election contest on November 3, 2026, with limited recent developments shifting the underlying dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,545Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad seeks reelection in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+6 partisan voting index that Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Finstad’s 17-point 2024 victory margin and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the 58.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Democrats added the district to their target list in February 2026 amid voter concerns over costs and tariffs, prompting early polling that narrowed the gap, yet subsequent surveys and nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato continue to classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. Primaries scheduled for August 11 leave the general election contest on November 3, 2026, with limited recent developments shifting the underlying dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,545Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad seeks reelection in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+6 partisan voting index that Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Finstad’s 17-point 2024 victory margin and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the 58.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Democrats added the district to their target list in February 2026 amid voter concerns over costs and tariffs, prompting early polling that narrowed the gap, yet subsequent surveys and nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato continue to classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. Primaries scheduled for August 11 leave the general election contest on November 3, 2026, with limited recent developments shifting the underlying dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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