Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad benefits from Minnesota's 1st Congressional District's R+6 partisan voting index and Solid Republican Cook rating, anchoring trader consensus at 59.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, a Rochester math teacher running a grassroots campaign, narrowed the gap in a February PPP poll (44%-41% with 15% undecided), fueling perceptions of competitiveness amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. However, Johnson's recent first-quarter fundraising surge over Finstad has not shifted odds significantly, as traders weigh incumbency advantages, district lean, and historical base rates for such races ahead of August 11 primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
41%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,399 KL.
60%
Democratic Party
$2,564 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad benefits from Minnesota's 1st Congressional District's R+6 partisan voting index and Solid Republican Cook rating, anchoring trader consensus at 59.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, a Rochester math teacher running a grassroots campaign, narrowed the gap in a February PPP poll (44%-41% with 15% undecided), fueling perceptions of competitiveness amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. However, Johnson's recent first-quarter fundraising surge over Finstad has not shifted odds significantly, as traders weigh incumbency advantages, district lean, and historical base rates for such races ahead of August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,963Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad benefits from Minnesota's 1st Congressional District's R+6 partisan voting index and Solid Republican Cook rating, anchoring trader consensus at 59.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, a Rochester math teacher running a grassroots campaign, narrowed the gap in a February PPP poll (44%-41% with 15% undecided), fueling perceptions of competitiveness amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. However, Johnson's recent first-quarter fundraising surge over Finstad has not shifted odds significantly, as traders weigh incumbency advantages, district lean, and historical base rates for such races ahead of August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,963Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad benefits from Minnesota's 1st Congressional District's R+6 partisan voting index and Solid Republican Cook rating, anchoring trader consensus at 59.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, a Rochester math teacher running a grassroots campaign, narrowed the gap in a February PPP poll (44%-41% with 15% undecided), fueling perceptions of competitiveness amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. However, Johnson's recent first-quarter fundraising surge over Finstad has not shifted odds significantly, as traders weigh incumbency advantages, district lean, and historical base rates for such races ahead of August 11 primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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