Matt Little holds a commanding 93% implied probability in the MN-02 House race because the open seat left by Rep. Angie Craig has tilted further toward Democrats in this suburban Twin Cities district. Little consolidated support after winning the August 11 Democratic primary by 17 points over more moderate rivals, backed by strong DFL organization and progressive endorsements. Republican nominee Eric Pratt, a state senator who ran unopposed in his primary, faces headwinds from limited national party investment and a September staffer controversy involving racist social media posts. Recent forecasts rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting Little’s fundraising edge and the district’s recent voting patterns. A late national Republican surge, sharp shifts in turnout among independents, or unforeseen legal or economic developments could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-02 House Election Winner
MN-02 House Election Winner
$31,592 KL.
$31,592 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Matt Little (D)
93%
Eric Pratt (R)
6%
$31,592 KL.
$31,592 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Matt Little (D)
$10,079 KL.
93%
Eric Pratt (R)
$21,513 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little holds a commanding 93% implied probability in the MN-02 House race because the open seat left by Rep. Angie Craig has tilted further toward Democrats in this suburban Twin Cities district. Little consolidated support after winning the August 11 Democratic primary by 17 points over more moderate rivals, backed by strong DFL organization and progressive endorsements. Republican nominee Eric Pratt, a state senator who ran unopposed in his primary, faces headwinds from limited national party investment and a September staffer controversy involving racist social media posts. Recent forecasts rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting Little’s fundraising edge and the district’s recent voting patterns. A late national Republican surge, sharp shifts in turnout among independents, or unforeseen legal or economic developments could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$31,592Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little holds a commanding 93% implied probability in the MN-02 House race because the open seat left by Rep. Angie Craig has tilted further toward Democrats in this suburban Twin Cities district. Little consolidated support after winning the August 11 Democratic primary by 17 points over more moderate rivals, backed by strong DFL organization and progressive endorsements. Republican nominee Eric Pratt, a state senator who ran unopposed in his primary, faces headwinds from limited national party investment and a September staffer controversy involving racist social media posts. Recent forecasts rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting Little’s fundraising edge and the district’s recent voting patterns. A late national Republican surge, sharp shifts in turnout among independents, or unforeseen legal or economic developments could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$31,592Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Matt Little holds a commanding 93% implied probability in the MN-02 House race because the open seat left by Rep. Angie Craig has tilted further toward Democrats in this suburban Twin Cities district. Little consolidated support after winning the August 11 Democratic primary by 17 points over more moderate rivals, backed by strong DFL organization and progressive endorsements. Republican nominee Eric Pratt, a state senator who ran unopposed in his primary, faces headwinds from limited national party investment and a September staffer controversy involving racist social media posts. Recent forecasts rate the contest Likely Democratic, reflecting Little’s fundraising edge and the district’s recent voting patterns. A late national Republican surge, sharp shifts in turnout among independents, or unforeseen legal or economic developments could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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