Nevada’s 1st congressional district maintains a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 with 52 percent, faces limited Republican opposition and several primary challengers in the June 9, 2026, contest. The district’s urban Las Vegas core and historical voting patterns have kept it out of serious contention for Republicans despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 84 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, while the 40 percent Republican share captures residual uncertainty around turnout and any late-cycle shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNV-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
41%
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
41%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nevada’s 1st congressional district maintains a modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024 with 52 percent, faces limited Republican opposition and several primary challengers in the June 9, 2026, contest. The district’s urban Las Vegas core and historical voting patterns have kept it out of serious contention for Republicans despite national midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 84 percent for a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, while the 40 percent Republican share captures residual uncertainty around turnout and any late-cycle shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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