NV-02 remains a Republican-leaning district that has consistently elected GOP representatives by wide margins in recent cycles, a structural advantage reflected in the current 74.5% Republican probability. The June 9, 2026, primaries produced clear nominees—David Flippo for Republicans after defeating the establishment-backed rival with late Trump endorsement, and Teresa Benitez-Thompson for Democrats—setting up a general-election matchup on November 3. Flippo’s primary momentum and alignment with national Republican messaging have reinforced trader expectations, while Benitez-Thompson’s experience as a former state Assembly leader has not yet shifted the district’s underlying partisan balance enough to close the gap. A single July poll showing the Democrat narrowly ahead introduced some uncertainty, but the broader pattern of Republican dominance in northern Nevada continues to anchor the market’s assessment of the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$29,498 KL.
$29,498 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
22%
$29,498 KL.
$29,498 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,511 KL.
75%
Democratic Party
$13,987 KL.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NV-02 remains a Republican-leaning district that has consistently elected GOP representatives by wide margins in recent cycles, a structural advantage reflected in the current 74.5% Republican probability. The June 9, 2026, primaries produced clear nominees—David Flippo for Republicans after defeating the establishment-backed rival with late Trump endorsement, and Teresa Benitez-Thompson for Democrats—setting up a general-election matchup on November 3. Flippo’s primary momentum and alignment with national Republican messaging have reinforced trader expectations, while Benitez-Thompson’s experience as a former state Assembly leader has not yet shifted the district’s underlying partisan balance enough to close the gap. A single July poll showing the Democrat narrowly ahead introduced some uncertainty, but the broader pattern of Republican dominance in northern Nevada continues to anchor the market’s assessment of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,498Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NV-02 remains a Republican-leaning district that has consistently elected GOP representatives by wide margins in recent cycles, a structural advantage reflected in the current 74.5% Republican probability. The June 9, 2026, primaries produced clear nominees—David Flippo for Republicans after defeating the establishment-backed rival with late Trump endorsement, and Teresa Benitez-Thompson for Democrats—setting up a general-election matchup on November 3. Flippo’s primary momentum and alignment with national Republican messaging have reinforced trader expectations, while Benitez-Thompson’s experience as a former state Assembly leader has not yet shifted the district’s underlying partisan balance enough to close the gap. A single July poll showing the Democrat narrowly ahead introduced some uncertainty, but the broader pattern of Republican dominance in northern Nevada continues to anchor the market’s assessment of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$29,498Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NV-02 remains a Republican-leaning district that has consistently elected GOP representatives by wide margins in recent cycles, a structural advantage reflected in the current 74.5% Republican probability. The June 9, 2026, primaries produced clear nominees—David Flippo for Republicans after defeating the establishment-backed rival with late Trump endorsement, and Teresa Benitez-Thompson for Democrats—setting up a general-election matchup on November 3. Flippo’s primary momentum and alignment with national Republican messaging have reinforced trader expectations, while Benitez-Thompson’s experience as a former state Assembly leader has not yet shifted the district’s underlying partisan balance enough to close the gap. A single July poll showing the Democrat narrowly ahead introduced some uncertainty, but the broader pattern of Republican dominance in northern Nevada continues to anchor the market’s assessment of the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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