Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee maintains a clear edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Lee secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and enters the race with a history of narrow victories in this battleground seat, including 51.4 percent in 2024. Competitive fundraising through June—Lee at $4.4 million versus Republican Marty O’Donnell at $4.1 million—combined with established name recognition and district demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles supports the current trader consensus. O’Donnell’s primary win, aided by a Trump endorsement, provides the Republican challenger with national visibility and resources, yet the implied probability reflects the structural advantages held by the sitting representative in a contest where small margins have historically decided outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
17%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,505 KL.
85%
Republican Party
$213 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee maintains a clear edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Lee secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and enters the race with a history of narrow victories in this battleground seat, including 51.4 percent in 2024. Competitive fundraising through June—Lee at $4.4 million versus Republican Marty O’Donnell at $4.1 million—combined with established name recognition and district demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles supports the current trader consensus. O’Donnell’s primary win, aided by a Trump endorsement, provides the Republican challenger with national visibility and resources, yet the implied probability reflects the structural advantages held by the sitting representative in a contest where small margins have historically decided outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,718Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee maintains a clear edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Lee secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and enters the race with a history of narrow victories in this battleground seat, including 51.4 percent in 2024. Competitive fundraising through June—Lee at $4.4 million versus Republican Marty O’Donnell at $4.1 million—combined with established name recognition and district demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles supports the current trader consensus. O’Donnell’s primary win, aided by a Trump endorsement, provides the Republican challenger with national visibility and resources, yet the implied probability reflects the structural advantages held by the sitting representative in a contest where small margins have historically decided outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,718Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee maintains a clear edge in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Lee secured her party’s nomination by a wide margin in the June primary and enters the race with a history of narrow victories in this battleground seat, including 51.4 percent in 2024. Competitive fundraising through June—Lee at $4.4 million versus Republican Marty O’Donnell at $4.1 million—combined with established name recognition and district demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles supports the current trader consensus. O’Donnell’s primary win, aided by a Trump endorsement, provides the Republican challenger with national visibility and resources, yet the implied probability reflects the structural advantages held by the sitting representative in a contest where small margins have historically decided outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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