Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, a swing seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 that supported Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election while retaining Democratic House representation. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell emerged from a crowded primary the same day. Trader pricing reflects Lee's established fundraising and name recognition in the Las Vegas-area district, alongside historical midterm patterns favoring incumbents absent major national shifts. Republicans view potential coattails from the gubernatorial race as their clearest path to an upset, though the current implied probability favors a Democratic hold through November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
16%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$374 KL.
84%
Republican Party
$100 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, a swing seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 that supported Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election while retaining Democratic House representation. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell emerged from a crowded primary the same day. Trader pricing reflects Lee's established fundraising and name recognition in the Las Vegas-area district, alongside historical midterm patterns favoring incumbents absent major national shifts. Republicans view potential coattails from the gubernatorial race as their clearest path to an upset, though the current implied probability favors a Democratic hold through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$474Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, a swing seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 that supported Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election while retaining Democratic House representation. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell emerged from a crowded primary the same day. Trader pricing reflects Lee's established fundraising and name recognition in the Las Vegas-area district, alongside historical midterm patterns favoring incumbents absent major national shifts. Republicans view potential coattails from the gubernatorial race as their clearest path to an upset, though the current implied probability favors a Democratic hold through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$474Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, a swing seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+1 that supported Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election while retaining Democratic House representation. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell emerged from a crowded primary the same day. Trader pricing reflects Lee's established fundraising and name recognition in the Las Vegas-area district, alongside historical midterm patterns favoring incumbents absent major national shifts. Republicans view potential coattails from the gubernatorial race as their clearest path to an upset, though the current implied probability favors a Democratic hold through November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp