Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the 2026 election, backed by the seat’s D+11 partisan voter index and her 2024 general-election margin of 17 points. The suburban Minneapolis district has trended steadily Democratic in recent cycles, with forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Primaries on August 11 have not produced notable Republican challengers capable of shifting the baseline. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural advantage and the absence of disruptive developments. A late scandal, an unusually strong Republican recruit, or a national midterm wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited near-term volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$10,058 KL.
$10,058 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$10,058 KL.
$10,058 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,165 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$3,893 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the 2026 election, backed by the seat’s D+11 partisan voter index and her 2024 general-election margin of 17 points. The suburban Minneapolis district has trended steadily Democratic in recent cycles, with forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Primaries on August 11 have not produced notable Republican challengers capable of shifting the baseline. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural advantage and the absence of disruptive developments. A late scandal, an unusually strong Republican recruit, or a national midterm wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,058Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the 2026 election, backed by the seat’s D+11 partisan voter index and her 2024 general-election margin of 17 points. The suburban Minneapolis district has trended steadily Democratic in recent cycles, with forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Primaries on August 11 have not produced notable Republican challengers capable of shifting the baseline. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural advantage and the absence of disruptive developments. A late scandal, an unusually strong Republican recruit, or a national midterm wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,058Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the 2026 election, backed by the seat’s D+11 partisan voter index and her 2024 general-election margin of 17 points. The suburban Minneapolis district has trended steadily Democratic in recent cycles, with forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Primaries on August 11 have not produced notable Republican challengers capable of shifting the baseline. Trader consensus prices reflect this structural advantage and the absence of disruptive developments. A late scandal, an unusually strong Republican recruit, or a national midterm wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited near-term volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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