Incumbent Jared Huffman’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured over 56 percent of the vote while the Republican field split, has reinforced trader expectations for a comfortable general-election victory on November 3. The redrawn district retains a Democratic-leaning voter base anchored in Marin County, and Huffman’s substantial fundraising—more than $1 million in cash on hand—supports broad outreach. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout in the newly added northern counties could narrow the margin, but no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-02 House Election Winner
CA-02 House Election Winner
$15,133 KL.
$15,133 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jared Huffman (D)
96%
Robin Littau (R)
5%
$15,133 KL.
$15,133 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jared Huffman (D)
$5,946 KL.
96%
Robin Littau (R)
$9,187 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jared Huffman’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured over 56 percent of the vote while the Republican field split, has reinforced trader expectations for a comfortable general-election victory on November 3. The redrawn district retains a Democratic-leaning voter base anchored in Marin County, and Huffman’s substantial fundraising—more than $1 million in cash on hand—supports broad outreach. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout in the newly added northern counties could narrow the margin, but no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,133Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jared Huffman’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured over 56 percent of the vote while the Republican field split, has reinforced trader expectations for a comfortable general-election victory on November 3. The redrawn district retains a Democratic-leaning voter base anchored in Marin County, and Huffman’s substantial fundraising—more than $1 million in cash on hand—supports broad outreach. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout in the newly added northern counties could narrow the margin, but no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,133Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jared Huffman’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured over 56 percent of the vote while the Republican field split, has reinforced trader expectations for a comfortable general-election victory on November 3. The redrawn district retains a Democratic-leaning voter base anchored in Marin County, and Huffman’s substantial fundraising—more than $1 million in cash on hand—supports broad outreach. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout in the newly added northern counties could narrow the margin, but no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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