Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman’s strong performance in the June 2 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 54-55 percent of the vote and advanced against Republican Robin Littau, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold in California’s 2nd congressional district. The seat’s composition, spanning Democratic strongholds in Marin, Sonoma, and Humboldt counties, has produced consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. With the general election still months away on November 3, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district have kept the opposing share low. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national realignment would be required to create any realistic opening for the Republican nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-02 House Election Winner
CA-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,960 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$1,997 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman’s strong performance in the June 2 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 54-55 percent of the vote and advanced against Republican Robin Littau, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold in California’s 2nd congressional district. The seat’s composition, spanning Democratic strongholds in Marin, Sonoma, and Humboldt counties, has produced consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. With the general election still months away on November 3, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district have kept the opposing share low. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national realignment would be required to create any realistic opening for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,957Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman’s strong performance in the June 2 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 54-55 percent of the vote and advanced against Republican Robin Littau, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold in California’s 2nd congressional district. The seat’s composition, spanning Democratic strongholds in Marin, Sonoma, and Humboldt counties, has produced consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. With the general election still months away on November 3, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district have kept the opposing share low. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national realignment would be required to create any realistic opening for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,957Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman’s strong performance in the June 2 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 54-55 percent of the vote and advanced against Republican Robin Littau, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold in California’s 2nd congressional district. The seat’s composition, spanning Democratic strongholds in Marin, Sonoma, and Humboldt counties, has produced consistent large margins for the party in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. With the general election still months away on November 3, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district have kept the opposing share low. A late scandal, health issue, or sharp national realignment would be required to create any realistic opening for the Republican nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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