Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, anchored in Philadelphia, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and previously carried the seat by wide margins, including 71.5% in 2024. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have consistently delivered large majorities. Limited fundraising and name recognition for the challenger further reinforce the current pricing. A shift would require an unusual national political environment, candidate-specific disruption, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's baseline partisan composition ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$30,381 KL.
$30,381 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$30,381 KL.
$30,381 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,352 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$24,029 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, anchored in Philadelphia, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and previously carried the seat by wide margins, including 71.5% in 2024. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have consistently delivered large majorities. Limited fundraising and name recognition for the challenger further reinforce the current pricing. A shift would require an unusual national political environment, candidate-specific disruption, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's baseline partisan composition ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,381Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, anchored in Philadelphia, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and previously carried the seat by wide margins, including 71.5% in 2024. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have consistently delivered large majorities. Limited fundraising and name recognition for the challenger further reinforce the current pricing. A shift would require an unusual national political environment, candidate-specific disruption, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's baseline partisan composition ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$30,381Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, anchored in Philadelphia, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and previously carried the seat by wide margins, including 71.5% in 2024. The Republican nominee, Jessica Arriaga, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have consistently delivered large majorities. Limited fundraising and name recognition for the challenger further reinforce the current pricing. A shift would require an unusual national political environment, candidate-specific disruption, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district's baseline partisan composition ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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