Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 17 locks in a rematch with James Marter, the Republican nominee she defeated 55-45% in 2024 and previously in 2020, cementing trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect her track record of mid-50s wins since flipping the exurban suburban district in 2018, amplified by fundraising dominance—$1.96 million raised and $1.3 million cash on hand versus Marter's $99,000 and $13,000. Absent public polling, incumbency and historical margins drive the lopsided odds. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a broad Republican midterm wave in battleground suburbs could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-14 House Election Winner
IL-14 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$439 KL.
92%
Republican Party
$2,781 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 17 locks in a rematch with James Marter, the Republican nominee she defeated 55-45% in 2024 and previously in 2020, cementing trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect her track record of mid-50s wins since flipping the exurban suburban district in 2018, amplified by fundraising dominance—$1.96 million raised and $1.3 million cash on hand versus Marter's $99,000 and $13,000. Absent public polling, incumbency and historical margins drive the lopsided odds. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a broad Republican midterm wave in battleground suburbs could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,220Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 17 locks in a rematch with James Marter, the Republican nominee she defeated 55-45% in 2024 and previously in 2020, cementing trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect her track record of mid-50s wins since flipping the exurban suburban district in 2018, amplified by fundraising dominance—$1.96 million raised and $1.3 million cash on hand versus Marter's $99,000 and $13,000. Absent public polling, incumbency and historical margins drive the lopsided odds. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a broad Republican midterm wave in battleground suburbs could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,220Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 17 locks in a rematch with James Marter, the Republican nominee she defeated 55-45% in 2024 and previously in 2020, cementing trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect her track record of mid-50s wins since flipping the exurban suburban district in 2018, amplified by fundraising dominance—$1.96 million raised and $1.3 million cash on hand versus Marter's $99,000 and $13,000. Absent public polling, incumbency and historical margins drive the lopsided odds. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or a broad Republican midterm wave in battleground suburbs could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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