The solidly Republican tilt of Illinois's 12th congressional district, anchored in southern Illinois communities including Carbondale and O'Fallon, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Mike Bost secured the Republican nomination without notable primary opposition following his 2024 reelection with over 74 percent of the vote, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced from the March 2026 primary to serve as the general election challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on voting patterns and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent could narrow the margin, though historical performance and structural factors make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$18,824 KL.
$18,824 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$18,824 KL.
$18,824 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,119 KL.
96%
Democratic Party
$10,705 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Illinois's 12th congressional district, anchored in southern Illinois communities including Carbondale and O'Fallon, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Mike Bost secured the Republican nomination without notable primary opposition following his 2024 reelection with over 74 percent of the vote, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced from the March 2026 primary to serve as the general election challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on voting patterns and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent could narrow the margin, though historical performance and structural factors make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,824Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Illinois's 12th congressional district, anchored in southern Illinois communities including Carbondale and O'Fallon, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Mike Bost secured the Republican nomination without notable primary opposition following his 2024 reelection with over 74 percent of the vote, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced from the March 2026 primary to serve as the general election challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on voting patterns and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent could narrow the margin, though historical performance and structural factors make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$18,824Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Illinois's 12th congressional district, anchored in southern Illinois communities including Carbondale and O'Fallon, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Mike Bost secured the Republican nomination without notable primary opposition following his 2024 reelection with over 74 percent of the vote, while Democrat Julie Fortier advanced from the March 2026 primary to serve as the general election challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on voting patterns and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or health-related withdrawal by the incumbent could narrow the margin, though historical performance and structural factors make substantial movement improbable before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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