Illinois's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and delivered Democratic victories exceeding 55 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Foster secured the nomination without primary opposition on March 17, 2026, while Republican Jeff Walter advanced from a contested GOP primary. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unexpected health development could narrow the margin, yet the structural Democratic advantage and limited general-election competitiveness continue to sustain the wide probability gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-11 House Election Winner
$12,873 KL.
$12,873 KL.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$12,873 KL.
$12,873 KL.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and delivered Democratic victories exceeding 55 percent in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Bill Foster secured the nomination without primary opposition on March 17, 2026, while Republican Jeff Walter advanced from a contested GOP primary. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan baseline and the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or unexpected health development could narrow the margin, yet the structural Democratic advantage and limited general-election competitiveness continue to sustain the wide probability gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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