Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Sarah McBride, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a substantial structural advantage in a state with consistent Democratic voter registration edges and recent general-election margins exceeding 15 points. Republican primary candidates have filed but face limited statewide infrastructure and fundraising capacity relative to the Democratic baseline. Primary elections scheduled for September 15, 2026, and the November 3 general offer few near-term catalysts that would alter the balance. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming Delaware’s partisan lean, or an unexpected primary outcome—developments that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$10,775 KL.
$10,775 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$10,775 KL.
$10,775 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,779 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$7,996 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Sarah McBride, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a substantial structural advantage in a state with consistent Democratic voter registration edges and recent general-election margins exceeding 15 points. Republican primary candidates have filed but face limited statewide infrastructure and fundraising capacity relative to the Democratic baseline. Primary elections scheduled for September 15, 2026, and the November 3 general offer few near-term catalysts that would alter the balance. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming Delaware’s partisan lean, or an unexpected primary outcome—developments that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,775Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Sarah McBride, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a substantial structural advantage in a state with consistent Democratic voter registration edges and recent general-election margins exceeding 15 points. Republican primary candidates have filed but face limited statewide infrastructure and fundraising capacity relative to the Democratic baseline. Primary elections scheduled for September 15, 2026, and the November 3 general offer few near-term catalysts that would alter the balance. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming Delaware’s partisan lean, or an unexpected primary outcome—developments that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,775Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Sarah McBride, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a substantial structural advantage in a state with consistent Democratic voter registration edges and recent general-election margins exceeding 15 points. Republican primary candidates have filed but face limited statewide infrastructure and fundraising capacity relative to the Democratic baseline. Primary elections scheduled for September 15, 2026, and the November 3 general offer few near-term catalysts that would alter the balance. A realistic shift would require either a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment capable of overcoming Delaware’s partisan lean, or an unexpected primary outcome—developments that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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