Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92.5% to retain Michigan's 11th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+9 partisan lean, where President Biden carried it 57%-41% in 2024 and incumbent Haley Stevens won 58%-40%. Stevens' April 2025 Senate bid created an open seat, but recent Q1 fundraising reports show Democratic frontrunner Jeremy Moss—backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer—with $982,000 raised and $572,000 cash on hand, dwarfing Republican challengers' minimal hauls under $30,000. Ratings like Cook's Solid Democratic reinforce this positioning ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Upsets could stem from a late GOP heavyweight recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, or midterm Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$41,238 KL.
$41,238 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$41,238 KL.
$41,238 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$36,710 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$4,529 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92.5% to retain Michigan's 11th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+9 partisan lean, where President Biden carried it 57%-41% in 2024 and incumbent Haley Stevens won 58%-40%. Stevens' April 2025 Senate bid created an open seat, but recent Q1 fundraising reports show Democratic frontrunner Jeremy Moss—backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer—with $982,000 raised and $572,000 cash on hand, dwarfing Republican challengers' minimal hauls under $30,000. Ratings like Cook's Solid Democratic reinforce this positioning ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Upsets could stem from a late GOP heavyweight recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, or midterm Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,238Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92.5% to retain Michigan's 11th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+9 partisan lean, where President Biden carried it 57%-41% in 2024 and incumbent Haley Stevens won 58%-40%. Stevens' April 2025 Senate bid created an open seat, but recent Q1 fundraising reports show Democratic frontrunner Jeremy Moss—backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer—with $982,000 raised and $572,000 cash on hand, dwarfing Republican challengers' minimal hauls under $30,000. Ratings like Cook's Solid Democratic reinforce this positioning ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Upsets could stem from a late GOP heavyweight recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, or midterm Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$41,238Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92.5% to retain Michigan's 11th Congressional District in the November 3 general election, driven by the district's D+9 partisan lean, where President Biden carried it 57%-41% in 2024 and incumbent Haley Stevens won 58%-40%. Stevens' April 2025 Senate bid created an open seat, but recent Q1 fundraising reports show Democratic frontrunner Jeremy Moss—backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer—with $982,000 raised and $572,000 cash on hand, dwarfing Republican challengers' minimal hauls under $30,000. Ratings like Cook's Solid Democratic reinforce this positioning ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primaries. Upsets could stem from a late GOP heavyweight recruit, Democratic nominee scandal, or midterm Republican wave shifting battleground turnout.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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