The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and multiple "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 95%. Incumbent Haley Stevens' retirement to pursue a Senate seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features limited visibility with Mayor Ethan Baker as the main entrant. Recent polling and fundraising patterns show no erosion of the structural advantage, with the general election on November 3 unlikely to shift absent major developments. Late-campaign national waves, a primary surprise producing a weaker nominee, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap in this Oakland County seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$56,329 KL.
$56,329 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$56,329 KL.
$56,329 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$44,047 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$12,283 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and multiple "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 95%. Incumbent Haley Stevens' retirement to pursue a Senate seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features limited visibility with Mayor Ethan Baker as the main entrant. Recent polling and fundraising patterns show no erosion of the structural advantage, with the general election on November 3 unlikely to shift absent major developments. Late-campaign national waves, a primary surprise producing a weaker nominee, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap in this Oakland County seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$56,329Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and multiple "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 95%. Incumbent Haley Stevens' retirement to pursue a Senate seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features limited visibility with Mayor Ethan Baker as the main entrant. Recent polling and fundraising patterns show no erosion of the structural advantage, with the general election on November 3 unlikely to shift absent major developments. Late-campaign national waves, a primary surprise producing a weaker nominee, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap in this Oakland County seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$56,329Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and multiple "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 95%. Incumbent Haley Stevens' retirement to pursue a Senate seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features limited visibility with Mayor Ethan Baker as the main entrant. Recent polling and fundraising patterns show no erosion of the structural advantage, with the general election on November 3 unlikely to shift absent major developments. Late-campaign national waves, a primary surprise producing a weaker nominee, or unforeseen scandals could still narrow the gap in this Oakland County seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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