Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Haley Stevens is retiring to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, creating an open seat that has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest, with state Sen. Jeremy Moss positioned as the frontrunner. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, limiting Republican opportunities in this Oakland County-based district. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen primary outcome could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical patterns support the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$56,269 KL.
$56,269 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$56,269 KL.
$56,269 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$44,047 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$12,223 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Haley Stevens is retiring to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, creating an open seat that has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest, with state Sen. Jeremy Moss positioned as the frontrunner. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, limiting Republican opportunities in this Oakland County-based district. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen primary outcome could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical patterns support the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$56,269Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Haley Stevens is retiring to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, creating an open seat that has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest, with state Sen. Jeremy Moss positioned as the frontrunner. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, limiting Republican opportunities in this Oakland County-based district. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen primary outcome could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical patterns support the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$56,269Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Partisan Voter Index and consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Haley Stevens is retiring to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, creating an open seat that has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest, with state Sen. Jeremy Moss positioned as the frontrunner. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, limiting Republican opportunities in this Oakland County-based district. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or an unforeseen primary outcome could narrow the margin, though structural advantages and historical patterns support the current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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