**Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong re-election campaign in Michigan's 12th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party.** Tlaib's March 16 announcement solidified her position, backed by landslide general election margins—69.7% in 2024 over Republican James Hooper and 70.8% in 2022—and $4.9 million cash-on-hand dwarfing Democratic primary challengers like Shanelle Jackson ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary. No Republican candidates have filed yet in this Detroit-area battleground. While a high-profile GOP recruit, primary disruption weakening the Democratic nominee, or late scandal could challenge this, the district's entrenched Democratic lean and historical precedents present formidable barriers to a Republican upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$18,096 KL.
$18,096 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$18,096 KL.
$18,096 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,057 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$6,040 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong re-election campaign in Michigan's 12th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party.** Tlaib's March 16 announcement solidified her position, backed by landslide general election margins—69.7% in 2024 over Republican James Hooper and 70.8% in 2022—and $4.9 million cash-on-hand dwarfing Democratic primary challengers like Shanelle Jackson ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary. No Republican candidates have filed yet in this Detroit-area battleground. While a high-profile GOP recruit, primary disruption weakening the Democratic nominee, or late scandal could challenge this, the district's entrenched Democratic lean and historical precedents present formidable barriers to a Republican upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,096Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong re-election campaign in Michigan's 12th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party.** Tlaib's March 16 announcement solidified her position, backed by landslide general election margins—69.7% in 2024 over Republican James Hooper and 70.8% in 2022—and $4.9 million cash-on-hand dwarfing Democratic primary challengers like Shanelle Jackson ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary. No Republican candidates have filed yet in this Detroit-area battleground. While a high-profile GOP recruit, primary disruption weakening the Democratic nominee, or late scandal could challenge this, the district's entrenched Democratic lean and historical precedents present formidable barriers to a Republican upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$18,096Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's strong re-election campaign in Michigan's 12th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party.** Tlaib's March 16 announcement solidified her position, backed by landslide general election margins—69.7% in 2024 over Republican James Hooper and 70.8% in 2022—and $4.9 million cash-on-hand dwarfing Democratic primary challengers like Shanelle Jackson ahead of the April 21 filing deadline and August 4 primary. No Republican candidates have filed yet in this Detroit-area battleground. While a high-profile GOP recruit, primary disruption weakening the Democratic nominee, or late scandal could challenge this, the district's entrenched Democratic lean and historical precedents present formidable barriers to a Republican upset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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