Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 partisan lean and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Rashida Tlaib in recent cycles. Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November general with minimal Republican infrastructure or visibility, as the party fields a challenger with little prior success in the seat. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94% based on these structural factors and historical voting patterns in Wayne and Oakland counties. A realistic shift would require either an unforeseen scandal derailing the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established voter base.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$32,265 KL.
$32,265 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$32,265 KL.
$32,265 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,089 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$11,175 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 partisan lean and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Rashida Tlaib in recent cycles. Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November general with minimal Republican infrastructure or visibility, as the party fields a challenger with little prior success in the seat. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94% based on these structural factors and historical voting patterns in Wayne and Oakland counties. A realistic shift would require either an unforeseen scandal derailing the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established voter base.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,265Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 partisan lean and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Rashida Tlaib in recent cycles. Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November general with minimal Republican infrastructure or visibility, as the party fields a challenger with little prior success in the seat. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94% based on these structural factors and historical voting patterns in Wayne and Oakland counties. A realistic shift would require either an unforeseen scandal derailing the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established voter base.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,265Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 partisan lean and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Rashida Tlaib in recent cycles. Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and enters the November general with minimal Republican infrastructure or visibility, as the party fields a challenger with little prior success in the seat. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94% based on these structural factors and historical voting patterns in Wayne and Oakland counties. A realistic shift would require either an unforeseen scandal derailing the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment capable of overcoming the district's established voter base.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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