Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary by a narrow 52-48 percent margin. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around McKinney’s general election position. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural headwinds, including a prior federal conviction. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no recent polling or events indicating shifts in the underlying partisan dynamics ahead of the November 3 ballot. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or health events remain the primary variables that could alter the current implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$49,552 KL.
$49,552 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Donavan McKinney (D)
98%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)
<1%
$49,552 KL.
$49,552 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Donavan McKinney (D)
$29,313 KL.
98%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)
$20,239 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary by a narrow 52-48 percent margin. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around McKinney’s general election position. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural headwinds, including a prior federal conviction. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no recent polling or events indicating shifts in the underlying partisan dynamics ahead of the November 3 ballot. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or health events remain the primary variables that could alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$49,552Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary by a narrow 52-48 percent margin. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around McKinney’s general election position. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural headwinds, including a prior federal conviction. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no recent polling or events indicating shifts in the underlying partisan dynamics ahead of the November 3 ballot. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or health events remain the primary variables that could alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$49,552Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary by a narrow 52-48 percent margin. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around McKinney’s general election position. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak faces structural headwinds, including a prior federal conviction. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with no recent polling or events indicating shifts in the underlying partisan dynamics ahead of the November 3 ballot. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or health events remain the primary variables that could alter the current implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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