Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear favorite in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, a perennial candidate with a prior federal conviction, faces structural barriers typical of the seat’s partisan composition and limited campaign resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns, candidate profiles, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected third-party surge remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$49,552 KL.
$49,552 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Donavan McKinney (D)
98%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)
<1%
$49,552 KL.
$49,552 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Donavan McKinney (D)
$29,313 KL.
98%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)
$20,239 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear favorite in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, a perennial candidate with a prior federal conviction, faces structural barriers typical of the seat’s partisan composition and limited campaign resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns, candidate profiles, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected third-party surge remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$49,552Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear favorite in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, a perennial candidate with a prior federal conviction, faces structural barriers typical of the seat’s partisan composition and limited campaign resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns, candidate profiles, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected third-party surge remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$49,552Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the clear favorite in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, T.P. Nykoriak, a perennial candidate with a prior federal conviction, faces structural barriers typical of the seat’s partisan composition and limited campaign resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s historical voting patterns, candidate profiles, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring the challenger. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected third-party surge remain the only realistic paths that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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