Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House seat, driven by challenger Janelle Stelson's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising of $2.17 million—outpacing all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and bolstering her cash-on-hand lead over incumbent Republican Scott Perry. This rematch follows Perry's narrow 2024 victory by 1.2 points amid his unfavorable 35/46 district favorability, with recent Democratic registration gains in Dauphin, York, and Cumberland counties adding momentum. National Democrats' "Red to Blue" support for Stelson positions her strongly ahead of the May 19 closed primary against Justin Douglas, while Cook rates the R+3 PVI district a Toss Up; late scandals or turnout shifts could alter the closely contested general election path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-10 House Election Winner
PA-10 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
69%
Republican Party
31%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$18 KL.
69%
Republican Party
$336 KL.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House seat, driven by challenger Janelle Stelson's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising of $2.17 million—outpacing all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and bolstering her cash-on-hand lead over incumbent Republican Scott Perry. This rematch follows Perry's narrow 2024 victory by 1.2 points amid his unfavorable 35/46 district favorability, with recent Democratic registration gains in Dauphin, York, and Cumberland counties adding momentum. National Democrats' "Red to Blue" support for Stelson positions her strongly ahead of the May 19 closed primary against Justin Douglas, while Cook rates the R+3 PVI district a Toss Up; late scandals or turnout shifts could alter the closely contested general election path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$354Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House seat, driven by challenger Janelle Stelson's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising of $2.17 million—outpacing all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and bolstering her cash-on-hand lead over incumbent Republican Scott Perry. This rematch follows Perry's narrow 2024 victory by 1.2 points amid his unfavorable 35/46 district favorability, with recent Democratic registration gains in Dauphin, York, and Cumberland counties adding momentum. National Democrats' "Red to Blue" support for Stelson positions her strongly ahead of the May 19 closed primary against Justin Douglas, while Cook rates the R+3 PVI district a Toss Up; late scandals or turnout shifts could alter the closely contested general election path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$354Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68.5% implied probability to win Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House seat, driven by challenger Janelle Stelson's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising of $2.17 million—outpacing all Pennsylvania congressional candidates and bolstering her cash-on-hand lead over incumbent Republican Scott Perry. This rematch follows Perry's narrow 2024 victory by 1.2 points amid his unfavorable 35/46 district favorability, with recent Democratic registration gains in Dauphin, York, and Cumberland counties adding momentum. National Democrats' "Red to Blue" support for Stelson positions her strongly ahead of the May 19 closed primary against Justin Douglas, while Cook rates the R+3 PVI district a Toss Up; late scandals or turnout shifts could alter the closely contested general election path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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