Longtime incumbent Rep. Hal Rogers holds a dominant position in solidly Republican KY-05 (Cook PVI R+32), driving trader consensus to 93.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3, bolstered by his $1.1 million cash-on-hand as of late March—far exceeding primary challengers Benjamin Hurley, Brandon Monhollen, Jerry Shelton, and Kevin Smith—ahead of the May 19 Republican primary. Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advances unopposed from a canceled primary, facing steep historical barriers in this safe Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings. Potential shifts include a primary upset, Rogers' health issues at age 88, or a major scandal, though such scenarios face significant hurdles amid stable recent fundraising and district fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKY-05 House Election Winner
KY-05 House Election Winner
$11,860 KL.
$11,860 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$11,860 KL.
$11,860 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,802 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,058 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime incumbent Rep. Hal Rogers holds a dominant position in solidly Republican KY-05 (Cook PVI R+32), driving trader consensus to 93.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3, bolstered by his $1.1 million cash-on-hand as of late March—far exceeding primary challengers Benjamin Hurley, Brandon Monhollen, Jerry Shelton, and Kevin Smith—ahead of the May 19 Republican primary. Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advances unopposed from a canceled primary, facing steep historical barriers in this safe Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings. Potential shifts include a primary upset, Rogers' health issues at age 88, or a major scandal, though such scenarios face significant hurdles amid stable recent fundraising and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,860Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime incumbent Rep. Hal Rogers holds a dominant position in solidly Republican KY-05 (Cook PVI R+32), driving trader consensus to 93.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3, bolstered by his $1.1 million cash-on-hand as of late March—far exceeding primary challengers Benjamin Hurley, Brandon Monhollen, Jerry Shelton, and Kevin Smith—ahead of the May 19 Republican primary. Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advances unopposed from a canceled primary, facing steep historical barriers in this safe Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings. Potential shifts include a primary upset, Rogers' health issues at age 88, or a major scandal, though such scenarios face significant hurdles amid stable recent fundraising and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,860Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime incumbent Rep. Hal Rogers holds a dominant position in solidly Republican KY-05 (Cook PVI R+32), driving trader consensus to 93.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3, bolstered by his $1.1 million cash-on-hand as of late March—far exceeding primary challengers Benjamin Hurley, Brandon Monhollen, Jerry Shelton, and Kevin Smith—ahead of the May 19 Republican primary. Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advances unopposed from a canceled primary, facing steep historical barriers in this safe Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings. Potential shifts include a primary upset, Rogers' health issues at age 88, or a major scandal, though such scenarios face significant hurdles amid stable recent fundraising and district fundamentals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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