Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered him 54.5 percent of the vote in 2024. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan tilt and Crane’s established incumbency. The July 21, 2026 primary—moved earlier by state legislation—features Crane on the Republican side and Jonathan Nez leading the Democratic contest, with general-election voting set for November 3. Early fundraising data shows Crane maintaining a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while limited public polling and the absence of major recent developments reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
34%
Republican Party
45%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$257 KL.
34%
Republican Party
$393 KL.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered him 54.5 percent of the vote in 2024. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan tilt and Crane’s established incumbency. The July 21, 2026 primary—moved earlier by state legislation—features Crane on the Republican side and Jonathan Nez leading the Democratic contest, with general-election voting set for November 3. Early fundraising data shows Crane maintaining a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while limited public polling and the absence of major recent developments reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$650Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered him 54.5 percent of the vote in 2024. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan tilt and Crane’s established incumbency. The July 21, 2026 primary—moved earlier by state legislation—features Crane on the Republican side and Jonathan Nez leading the Democratic contest, with general-election voting set for November 3. Early fundraising data shows Crane maintaining a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while limited public polling and the absence of major recent developments reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$650Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered him 54.5 percent of the vote in 2024. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan tilt and Crane’s established incumbency. The July 21, 2026 primary—moved earlier by state legislation—features Crane on the Republican side and Jonathan Nez leading the Democratic contest, with general-election voting set for November 3. Early fundraising data shows Crane maintaining a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while limited public polling and the absence of major recent developments reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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