Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the SC-04 nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, positioning him strongly for the November general election against Democrat Courtney McClain. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a high probability of continued GOP control. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, with limited Democratic crossover potential and no major recent developments shifting fundamentals. Late-cycle national swings, turnout surges, or unexpected candidate issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
$43,734 KL.
$43,734 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
William Timmons (R)
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
7%
$43,734 KL.
$43,734 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
William Timmons (R)
$20,131 KL.
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
$23,603 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the SC-04 nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, positioning him strongly for the November general election against Democrat Courtney McClain. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a high probability of continued GOP control. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, with limited Democratic crossover potential and no major recent developments shifting fundamentals. Late-cycle national swings, turnout surges, or unexpected candidate issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$43,734Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the SC-04 nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, positioning him strongly for the November general election against Democrat Courtney McClain. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a high probability of continued GOP control. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, with limited Democratic crossover potential and no major recent developments shifting fundamentals. Late-cycle national swings, turnout surges, or unexpected candidate issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$43,734Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured the SC-04 nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, positioning him strongly for the November general election against Democrat Courtney McClain. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's double-digit margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a high probability of continued GOP control. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid Republican, with limited Democratic crossover potential and no major recent developments shifting fundamentals. Late-cycle national swings, turnout surges, or unexpected candidate issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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