South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by its Upstate location encompassing Greenville and Spartanburg counties and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent Representative William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors, combined with Timmons's prior 2024 performance above 59 percent, underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited Democratic path visible absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
$12,526 KL.
$12,526 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$12,526 KL.
$12,526 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,244 KL.
88%
Democratic Party
$2,282 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by its Upstate location encompassing Greenville and Spartanburg counties and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent Representative William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors, combined with Timmons's prior 2024 performance above 59 percent, underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited Democratic path visible absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,526Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by its Upstate location encompassing Greenville and Spartanburg counties and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent Representative William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors, combined with Timmons's prior 2024 performance above 59 percent, underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited Democratic path visible absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$12,526Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by its Upstate location encompassing Greenville and Spartanburg counties and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent Representative William Timmons secured the Republican nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly 66 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors, combined with Timmons's prior 2024 performance above 59 percent, underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited Democratic path visible absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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