California's 28th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, where longtime incumbent Judy Chu secured the top-two primary spot on June 2 with roughly 59 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato and a second Democratic challenger. The district's voter registration and historical results have consistently produced large Democratic margins in federal contests, limiting the Republican candidate's path despite Verlato's advancement to the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead consistent with the seat's partisan composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts have not materialized in prior cycles for this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-28 House Election Winner
CA-28 House Election Winner
$95,631 KL.
$95,631 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
$95,631 KL.
$95,631 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$42,654 KL.
92%
Republican Party
$52,978 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 28th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, where longtime incumbent Judy Chu secured the top-two primary spot on June 2 with roughly 59 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato and a second Democratic challenger. The district's voter registration and historical results have consistently produced large Democratic margins in federal contests, limiting the Republican candidate's path despite Verlato's advancement to the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead consistent with the seat's partisan composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts have not materialized in prior cycles for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$95,631Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 28th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, where longtime incumbent Judy Chu secured the top-two primary spot on June 2 with roughly 59 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato and a second Democratic challenger. The district's voter registration and historical results have consistently produced large Democratic margins in federal contests, limiting the Republican candidate's path despite Verlato's advancement to the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead consistent with the seat's partisan composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts have not materialized in prior cycles for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$95,631Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 28th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, where longtime incumbent Judy Chu secured the top-two primary spot on June 2 with roughly 59 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato and a second Democratic challenger. The district's voter registration and historical results have consistently produced large Democratic margins in federal contests, limiting the Republican candidate's path despite Verlato's advancement to the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead consistent with the seat's partisan composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts have not materialized in prior cycles for this district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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