Florida's 8th Congressional District leans Republican, with Donald Trump carrying it by 12.5 points in 2024 and the seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos, who won election in 2024 by a wide margin, faces Democrat Jennifer Jenkins in the November 3, 2026 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed after primaries were canceled. Recent mid-decade redistricting preserved a GOP tilt in the district, while Haridopolos maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Current polling shows the incumbent ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or sharp shift in turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and candidate positioning currently support the wide implied probability for a Republican hold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-08 House Election Winner
FL-08 House Election Winner
$28,153 KL.
$28,153 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$28,153 KL.
$28,153 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,874 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$15,279 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 8th Congressional District leans Republican, with Donald Trump carrying it by 12.5 points in 2024 and the seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos, who won election in 2024 by a wide margin, faces Democrat Jennifer Jenkins in the November 3, 2026 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed after primaries were canceled. Recent mid-decade redistricting preserved a GOP tilt in the district, while Haridopolos maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Current polling shows the incumbent ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or sharp shift in turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and candidate positioning currently support the wide implied probability for a Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,153Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 8th Congressional District leans Republican, with Donald Trump carrying it by 12.5 points in 2024 and the seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos, who won election in 2024 by a wide margin, faces Democrat Jennifer Jenkins in the November 3, 2026 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed after primaries were canceled. Recent mid-decade redistricting preserved a GOP tilt in the district, while Haridopolos maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Current polling shows the incumbent ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or sharp shift in turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and candidate positioning currently support the wide implied probability for a Republican hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,153Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 8th Congressional District leans Republican, with Donald Trump carrying it by 12.5 points in 2024 and the seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos, who won election in 2024 by a wide margin, faces Democrat Jennifer Jenkins in the November 3, 2026 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed after primaries were canceled. Recent mid-decade redistricting preserved a GOP tilt in the district, while Haridopolos maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Current polling shows the incumbent ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or sharp shift in turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and candidate positioning currently support the wide implied probability for a Republican hold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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