Incumbent Republican Rep. Cory Mills' 13-point reelection victory in 2024, aligning with the district's partisan lean matching former President Trump's margin, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 74.5% implied probability for Florida's 7th Congressional District House race. Recent Democratic consolidation around Navy veteran Bale Dalton, who outraised Mills over 5-to-1 in Q1 2026 with nearly $700,000 total and holds a cash-on-hand lead after rival Noah Widmann's January dropout and endorsement, has fueled optimism amid Mills' ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation launched in November 2025 over misconduct allegations. Florida Democrats' March special election flips in state legislative seats signal potential midterm momentum, yet the early cycle ahead of August 18 primaries underscores incumbency advantages in this Central Florida battleground.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-07 House Election Winner
FL-07 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
24%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,295 KL.
75%
Democratic Party
$2,583 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Cory Mills' 13-point reelection victory in 2024, aligning with the district's partisan lean matching former President Trump's margin, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 74.5% implied probability for Florida's 7th Congressional District House race. Recent Democratic consolidation around Navy veteran Bale Dalton, who outraised Mills over 5-to-1 in Q1 2026 with nearly $700,000 total and holds a cash-on-hand lead after rival Noah Widmann's January dropout and endorsement, has fueled optimism amid Mills' ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation launched in November 2025 over misconduct allegations. Florida Democrats' March special election flips in state legislative seats signal potential midterm momentum, yet the early cycle ahead of August 18 primaries underscores incumbency advantages in this Central Florida battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,879Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Cory Mills' 13-point reelection victory in 2024, aligning with the district's partisan lean matching former President Trump's margin, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 74.5% implied probability for Florida's 7th Congressional District House race. Recent Democratic consolidation around Navy veteran Bale Dalton, who outraised Mills over 5-to-1 in Q1 2026 with nearly $700,000 total and holds a cash-on-hand lead after rival Noah Widmann's January dropout and endorsement, has fueled optimism amid Mills' ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation launched in November 2025 over misconduct allegations. Florida Democrats' March special election flips in state legislative seats signal potential midterm momentum, yet the early cycle ahead of August 18 primaries underscores incumbency advantages in this Central Florida battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,879Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Cory Mills' 13-point reelection victory in 2024, aligning with the district's partisan lean matching former President Trump's margin, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 74.5% implied probability for Florida's 7th Congressional District House race. Recent Democratic consolidation around Navy veteran Bale Dalton, who outraised Mills over 5-to-1 in Q1 2026 with nearly $700,000 total and holds a cash-on-hand lead after rival Noah Widmann's January dropout and endorsement, has fueled optimism amid Mills' ongoing House Ethics Committee investigation launched in November 2025 over misconduct allegations. Florida Democrats' March special election flips in state legislative seats signal potential midterm momentum, yet the early cycle ahead of August 18 primaries underscores incumbency advantages in this Central Florida battleground.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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