Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and extending to inner Baton Rouge, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Troy Carter holds the seat after winning outright in the 2024 jungle primary and securing roughly 60 percent in the general election, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A primary contest featuring Carter and Renada Collins remains the main near-term variable, though it does not alter the broader partisan tilt. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to current district lines or an unforeseen scandal, yet historical margins and structural advantages keep the implied probability heavily weighted toward Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$60,994 KL.
$60,994 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$60,994 KL.
$60,994 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$34,748 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$26,246 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and extending to inner Baton Rouge, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Troy Carter holds the seat after winning outright in the 2024 jungle primary and securing roughly 60 percent in the general election, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A primary contest featuring Carter and Renada Collins remains the main near-term variable, though it does not alter the broader partisan tilt. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to current district lines or an unforeseen scandal, yet historical margins and structural advantages keep the implied probability heavily weighted toward Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$60,994Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and extending to inner Baton Rouge, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Troy Carter holds the seat after winning outright in the 2024 jungle primary and securing roughly 60 percent in the general election, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A primary contest featuring Carter and Renada Collins remains the main near-term variable, though it does not alter the broader partisan tilt. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to current district lines or an unforeseen scandal, yet historical margins and structural advantages keep the implied probability heavily weighted toward Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$60,994Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district, anchored in New Orleans and extending to inner Baton Rouge, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns. Incumbent Troy Carter holds the seat after winning outright in the 2024 jungle primary and securing roughly 60 percent in the general election, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and modest fundraising from challengers have reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A primary contest featuring Carter and Renada Collins remains the main near-term variable, though it does not alter the broader partisan tilt. Potential shifts could arise from successful legal challenges to current district lines or an unforeseen scandal, yet historical margins and structural advantages keep the implied probability heavily weighted toward Democrats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp