Louisiana's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+25 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces limited opposition in the November 3 jungle primary, including fellow Democrat Renada Collins and Republican Peter Williams, in a district centered on New Orleans that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 96.4% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and lack of recent competitive shifts or major scandals. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as significant candidate withdrawal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a late-breaking development that alters the primary field before the December runoff window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$61,950 KL.
$61,950 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$61,950 KL.
$61,950 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$35,428 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$26,522 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+25 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces limited opposition in the November 3 jungle primary, including fellow Democrat Renada Collins and Republican Peter Williams, in a district centered on New Orleans that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 96.4% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and lack of recent competitive shifts or major scandals. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as significant candidate withdrawal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a late-breaking development that alters the primary field before the December runoff window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,950Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+25 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces limited opposition in the November 3 jungle primary, including fellow Democrat Renada Collins and Republican Peter Williams, in a district centered on New Orleans that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 96.4% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and lack of recent competitive shifts or major scandals. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as significant candidate withdrawal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a late-breaking development that alters the primary field before the December runoff window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$61,950Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+25 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces limited opposition in the November 3 jungle primary, including fellow Democrat Renada Collins and Republican Peter Williams, in a district centered on New Orleans that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 96.4% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and lack of recent competitive shifts or major scandals. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as significant candidate withdrawal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a late-breaking development that alters the primary field before the December runoff window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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