Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes, where the incumbent Steve Scalise has held office since 2008 and won reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024. Scalise, serving as House Majority Leader, faces only a minor intraparty challenge from Randall Arrington and a single Democratic entrant, Lauren Jewett, in the November 3, 2026 primary. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited opposition fundraising, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. Potential disruptions remain narrow, including an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan surge that alters turnout in suburban precincts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$37,648 KL.
$37,648 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$37,648 KL.
$37,648 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,151 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$21,498 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes, where the incumbent Steve Scalise has held office since 2008 and won reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024. Scalise, serving as House Majority Leader, faces only a minor intraparty challenge from Randall Arrington and a single Democratic entrant, Lauren Jewett, in the November 3, 2026 primary. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited opposition fundraising, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. Potential disruptions remain narrow, including an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan surge that alters turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,648Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes, where the incumbent Steve Scalise has held office since 2008 and won reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024. Scalise, serving as House Majority Leader, faces only a minor intraparty challenge from Randall Arrington and a single Democratic entrant, Lauren Jewett, in the November 3, 2026 primary. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited opposition fundraising, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. Potential disruptions remain narrow, including an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan surge that alters turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$37,648Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in the New Orleans suburbs and coastal parishes, where the incumbent Steve Scalise has held office since 2008 and won reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024. Scalise, serving as House Majority Leader, faces only a minor intraparty challenge from Randall Arrington and a single Democratic entrant, Lauren Jewett, in the November 3, 2026 primary. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited opposition fundraising, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at 90.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these structural factors. Potential disruptions remain narrow, including an unforeseen scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan surge that alters turnout in suburban precincts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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