Louisiana’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, faces limited opposition from fellow Republican Randall Arrington in the November 3 primary alongside Democrat Lauren Jewett, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. This structural advantage and Scalise’s name recognition and fundraising edge underpin the 96% Republican implied probability in trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban parishes, though historical patterns and current candidate fields make such outcomes unlikely before the possible December 12 runoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$52,244 KL.
$52,244 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$52,244 KL.
$52,244 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,399 KL.
96%
Democratic Party
$29,844 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, faces limited opposition from fellow Republican Randall Arrington in the November 3 primary alongside Democrat Lauren Jewett, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. This structural advantage and Scalise’s name recognition and fundraising edge underpin the 96% Republican implied probability in trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban parishes, though historical patterns and current candidate fields make such outcomes unlikely before the possible December 12 runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, faces limited opposition from fellow Republican Randall Arrington in the November 3 primary alongside Democrat Lauren Jewett, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. This structural advantage and Scalise’s name recognition and fundraising edge underpin the 96% Republican implied probability in trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban parishes, though historical patterns and current candidate fields make such outcomes unlikely before the possible December 12 runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$52,244Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, faces limited opposition from fellow Republican Randall Arrington in the November 3 primary alongside Democrat Lauren Jewett, with all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. This structural advantage and Scalise’s name recognition and fundraising edge underpin the 96% Republican implied probability in trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban parishes, though historical patterns and current candidate fields make such outcomes unlikely before the possible December 12 runoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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