Democratic challenger Jamie Ager holds a 63% implied probability in the NC-11 race against Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards because the district’s partisan lean has narrowed to R+5 after 2025 redistricting, reflecting a decade-long leftward shift in western North Carolina counties. Ager’s March 2026 primary victory and early placement in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program have drawn national resources, while voter frustration over slow Hurricane Helene recovery aid has kept local attention on the seat. The broader 2026 midterm environment, with Democrats favored in generic-ballot polling and prediction markets, further boosts the challenger’s positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Edwards maintains strong GOP primary support and has highlighted recent federal recovery funding, yet trader pricing treats the seat as one of the more accessible Republican-held targets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-11 House Election Winner
NC-11 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
70%
Republican Party
32%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$388 KL.
70%
Republican Party
$503 KL.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger Jamie Ager holds a 63% implied probability in the NC-11 race against Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards because the district’s partisan lean has narrowed to R+5 after 2025 redistricting, reflecting a decade-long leftward shift in western North Carolina counties. Ager’s March 2026 primary victory and early placement in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program have drawn national resources, while voter frustration over slow Hurricane Helene recovery aid has kept local attention on the seat. The broader 2026 midterm environment, with Democrats favored in generic-ballot polling and prediction markets, further boosts the challenger’s positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Edwards maintains strong GOP primary support and has highlighted recent federal recovery funding, yet trader pricing treats the seat as one of the more accessible Republican-held targets.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$891Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger Jamie Ager holds a 63% implied probability in the NC-11 race against Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards because the district’s partisan lean has narrowed to R+5 after 2025 redistricting, reflecting a decade-long leftward shift in western North Carolina counties. Ager’s March 2026 primary victory and early placement in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program have drawn national resources, while voter frustration over slow Hurricane Helene recovery aid has kept local attention on the seat. The broader 2026 midterm environment, with Democrats favored in generic-ballot polling and prediction markets, further boosts the challenger’s positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Edwards maintains strong GOP primary support and has highlighted recent federal recovery funding, yet trader pricing treats the seat as one of the more accessible Republican-held targets.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$891Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic challenger Jamie Ager holds a 63% implied probability in the NC-11 race against Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards because the district’s partisan lean has narrowed to R+5 after 2025 redistricting, reflecting a decade-long leftward shift in western North Carolina counties. Ager’s March 2026 primary victory and early placement in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program have drawn national resources, while voter frustration over slow Hurricane Helene recovery aid has kept local attention on the seat. The broader 2026 midterm environment, with Democrats favored in generic-ballot polling and prediction markets, further boosts the challenger’s positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Edwards maintains strong GOP primary support and has highlighted recent federal recovery funding, yet trader pricing treats the seat as one of the more accessible Republican-held targets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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