The district's entrenched Republican lean, reinforced by post-2020 Census redistricting that preserved its rural and conservative character across west-central Texas, underpins the 93% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger secured his party's nomination without significant primary opposition and faces Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Limited Democratic fundraising and turnout infrastructure in the area further constrain any realistic path to an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting Pfluger or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable before November 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-11 House Election Winner
TX-11 House Election Winner
$26,322 KL.
$26,322 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$26,322 KL.
$26,322 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,676 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$19,646 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Republican lean, reinforced by post-2020 Census redistricting that preserved its rural and conservative character across west-central Texas, underpins the 93% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger secured his party's nomination without significant primary opposition and faces Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Limited Democratic fundraising and turnout infrastructure in the area further constrain any realistic path to an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting Pfluger or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,322Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Republican lean, reinforced by post-2020 Census redistricting that preserved its rural and conservative character across west-central Texas, underpins the 93% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger secured his party's nomination without significant primary opposition and faces Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Limited Democratic fundraising and turnout infrastructure in the area further constrain any realistic path to an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting Pfluger or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,322Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Republican lean, reinforced by post-2020 Census redistricting that preserved its rural and conservative character across west-central Texas, underpins the 93% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent August Pfluger secured his party's nomination without significant primary opposition and faces Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Limited Democratic fundraising and turnout infrastructure in the area further constrain any realistic path to an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting Pfluger or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts improbable before November 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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