Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her established voter base. Prediction markets price the Republican Party at 90% and the Democratic Party at 10.5% ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary, yet the race has shown limited movement in trader sentiment. A 2025-2026 redistricting lawsuit that sought to alter district lines was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March, preserving the current map and associated partisan balance. These structural and incumbency factors continue to anchor market pricing in the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$17,688 KL.
$17,688 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
$17,688 KL.
$17,688 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,086 KL.
90%
Democratic Party
$7,602 KL.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her established voter base. Prediction markets price the Republican Party at 90% and the Democratic Party at 10.5% ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary, yet the race has shown limited movement in trader sentiment. A 2025-2026 redistricting lawsuit that sought to alter district lines was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March, preserving the current map and associated partisan balance. These structural and incumbency factors continue to anchor market pricing in the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,688Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her established voter base. Prediction markets price the Republican Party at 90% and the Democratic Party at 10.5% ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary, yet the race has shown limited movement in trader sentiment. A 2025-2026 redistricting lawsuit that sought to alter district lines was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March, preserving the current map and associated partisan balance. These structural and incumbency factors continue to anchor market pricing in the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$17,688Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, due to the area’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her established voter base. Prediction markets price the Republican Party at 90% and the Democratic Party at 10.5% ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Michael DeCillis secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary, yet the race has shown limited movement in trader sentiment. A 2025-2026 redistricting lawsuit that sought to alter district lines was blocked by the U.S. Supreme Court in March, preserving the current map and associated partisan balance. These structural and incumbency factors continue to anchor market pricing in the absence of major polling shifts or late-cycle developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp