California’s 31st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic partisan lean that underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a commanding position for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Gil Cisneros advanced from the June 2 top-two primary against a limited Republican field, benefiting from established voter registration advantages and consistent historical support in the district. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural factors that have held through recent cycles. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout patterns or late developments capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-31 House Election Winner
CA-31 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,458 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$3,113 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 31st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic partisan lean that underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a commanding position for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Gil Cisneros advanced from the June 2 top-two primary against a limited Republican field, benefiting from established voter registration advantages and consistent historical support in the district. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural factors that have held through recent cycles. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout patterns or late developments capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,571Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 31st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic partisan lean that underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a commanding position for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Gil Cisneros advanced from the June 2 top-two primary against a limited Republican field, benefiting from established voter registration advantages and consistent historical support in the district. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural factors that have held through recent cycles. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout patterns or late developments capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,571Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 31st congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic partisan lean that underpins trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a commanding position for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Gil Cisneros advanced from the June 2 top-two primary against a limited Republican field, benefiting from established voter registration advantages and consistent historical support in the district. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural factors that have held through recent cycles. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout patterns or late developments capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp