The strong Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district, anchored in southern Dallas and surrounding suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with over 72 percent of the vote, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced through a May runoff. Independent analysts rate the open-seat contest Solid or Safe Democratic, projecting margins exceeding 60 points based on historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling. Low Republican fundraising and the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout reversal would be required to alter the outcome before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$48,309 KL.
$48,309 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$48,309 KL.
$48,309 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,583 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$42,726 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district, anchored in southern Dallas and surrounding suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with over 72 percent of the vote, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced through a May runoff. Independent analysts rate the open-seat contest Solid or Safe Democratic, projecting margins exceeding 60 points based on historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling. Low Republican fundraising and the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout reversal would be required to alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48,309Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district, anchored in southern Dallas and surrounding suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with over 72 percent of the vote, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced through a May runoff. Independent analysts rate the open-seat contest Solid or Safe Democratic, projecting margins exceeding 60 points based on historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling. Low Republican fundraising and the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout reversal would be required to alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$48,309Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Texas's 30th congressional district, anchored in southern Dallas and surrounding suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with over 72 percent of the vote, while Republican Everett Jackson advanced through a May runoff. Independent analysts rate the open-seat contest Solid or Safe Democratic, projecting margins exceeding 60 points based on historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling. Low Republican fundraising and the district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles further reinforce this positioning. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout reversal would be required to alter the outcome before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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