Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 31st Congressional District, capturing over 57% of the vote and avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 85% odds for a GOP House win. This Central Texas seat, spanning Williamson County and northern Austin suburbs, rates as Solid Republican per nonpartisan forecasters, bolstered by Carter's long tenure since 2003 and strong fundraising. The Democratic nominee emerged from their own primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Republican margins, amid limited recent polling shifts. General election on November 3 could see movement from national midterm dynamics or unexpected scandals, though high incumbency advantage maintains the lopsided pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$13,946 KL.
$13,946 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
$13,946 KL.
$13,946 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,720 KL.
85%
Democratic Party
$5,226 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 31st Congressional District, capturing over 57% of the vote and avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 85% odds for a GOP House win. This Central Texas seat, spanning Williamson County and northern Austin suburbs, rates as Solid Republican per nonpartisan forecasters, bolstered by Carter's long tenure since 2003 and strong fundraising. The Democratic nominee emerged from their own primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Republican margins, amid limited recent polling shifts. General election on November 3 could see movement from national midterm dynamics or unexpected scandals, though high incumbency advantage maintains the lopsided pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,946Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 31st Congressional District, capturing over 57% of the vote and avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 85% odds for a GOP House win. This Central Texas seat, spanning Williamson County and northern Austin suburbs, rates as Solid Republican per nonpartisan forecasters, bolstered by Carter's long tenure since 2003 and strong fundraising. The Democratic nominee emerged from their own primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Republican margins, amid limited recent polling shifts. General election on November 3 could see movement from national midterm dynamics or unexpected scandals, though high incumbency advantage maintains the lopsided pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,946Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 31st Congressional District, capturing over 57% of the vote and avoiding a runoff against nine challengers, has solidified trader consensus at 85% odds for a GOP House win. This Central Texas seat, spanning Williamson County and northern Austin suburbs, rates as Solid Republican per nonpartisan forecasters, bolstered by Carter's long tenure since 2003 and strong fundraising. The Democratic nominee emerged from their own primary but faces steep structural barriers in a district with consistent Republican margins, amid limited recent polling shifts. General election on November 3 could see movement from national midterm dynamics or unexpected scandals, though high incumbency advantage maintains the lopsided pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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