The district’s R+11 Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 65% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93%. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured his party’s nomination with 60% in the March primary after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while the Democratic nominee, Justin Early, emerged from a low-profile contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national Democratic surge, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in Williamson and Bell counties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$45,379 KL.
$45,379 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$45,379 KL.
$45,379 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$24,918 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$20,461 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s R+11 Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 65% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93%. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured his party’s nomination with 60% in the March primary after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while the Democratic nominee, Justin Early, emerged from a low-profile contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national Democratic surge, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in Williamson and Bell counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,379Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s R+11 Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 65% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93%. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured his party’s nomination with 60% in the March primary after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while the Democratic nominee, Justin Early, emerged from a low-profile contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national Democratic surge, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in Williamson and Bell counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$45,379Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s R+11 Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 65% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93%. Twelve-term incumbent John Carter secured his party’s nomination with 60% in the March primary after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while the Democratic nominee, Justin Early, emerged from a low-profile contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a national Democratic surge, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in Williamson and Bell counties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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