Redistricting enacted in 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one where Donald Trump would have carried approximately 58 percent of the 2024 presidential vote under the new lines. Expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Solid or Safe Republican. The Republican primary featured multiple candidates, including a Trump-endorsed contender, with a runoff completed in late May; the Democratic nominee emerged from a March primary. These structural changes and nomination outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$26,277 KL.
$26,277 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
26%
$26,277 KL.
$26,277 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$25,876 KL.
76%
Democratic Party
$400 KL.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one where Donald Trump would have carried approximately 58 percent of the 2024 presidential vote under the new lines. Expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Solid or Safe Republican. The Republican primary featured multiple candidates, including a Trump-endorsed contender, with a runoff completed in late May; the Democratic nominee emerged from a March primary. These structural changes and nomination outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,277Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one where Donald Trump would have carried approximately 58 percent of the 2024 presidential vote under the new lines. Expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Solid or Safe Republican. The Republican primary featured multiple candidates, including a Trump-endorsed contender, with a runoff completed in late May; the Democratic nominee emerged from a March primary. These structural changes and nomination outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,277Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting enacted in 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one where Donald Trump would have carried approximately 58 percent of the 2024 presidential vote under the new lines. Expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the November 3, 2026, general election as Solid or Safe Republican. The Republican primary featured multiple candidates, including a Trump-endorsed contender, with a runoff completed in late May; the Democratic nominee emerged from a March primary. These structural changes and nomination outcomes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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