Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, encompassing western Oklahoma including the panhandle, Enid, and Stillwater, maintains a strong Republican partisan voting index exceeding R+20. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election and re-elected without opposition in 2024, faces only a primary challenge from Wade Burleson on June 16, 2026, while Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance to a low-visibility general election matchup on November 3. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on consistent double-digit GOP margins and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or recent polling shifts. The current trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, with any reversal requiring an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or national political realignment far outside historical norms for the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOK-03 House Election Winner
OK-03 House Election Winner
$86,662 KL.
$86,662 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$86,662 KL.
$86,662 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$46,388 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$40,274 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, encompassing western Oklahoma including the panhandle, Enid, and Stillwater, maintains a strong Republican partisan voting index exceeding R+20. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election and re-elected without opposition in 2024, faces only a primary challenge from Wade Burleson on June 16, 2026, while Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance to a low-visibility general election matchup on November 3. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on consistent double-digit GOP margins and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or recent polling shifts. The current trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, with any reversal requiring an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or national political realignment far outside historical norms for the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$86,662Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, encompassing western Oklahoma including the panhandle, Enid, and Stillwater, maintains a strong Republican partisan voting index exceeding R+20. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election and re-elected without opposition in 2024, faces only a primary challenge from Wade Burleson on June 16, 2026, while Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance to a low-visibility general election matchup on November 3. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on consistent double-digit GOP margins and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or recent polling shifts. The current trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, with any reversal requiring an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or national political realignment far outside historical norms for the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$86,662Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district, encompassing western Oklahoma including the panhandle, Enid, and Stillwater, maintains a strong Republican partisan voting index exceeding R+20. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election and re-elected without opposition in 2024, faces only a primary challenge from Wade Burleson on June 16, 2026, while Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance to a low-visibility general election matchup on November 3. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on consistent double-digit GOP margins and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or recent polling shifts. The current trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, with any reversal requiring an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or national political realignment far outside historical norms for the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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