Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 83.4% of the vote and now faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election. The KS-03 district, encompassing suburban Kansas City areas, has delivered Davids consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, reflecting its underlying Democratic lean in House contests despite mixed presidential results. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects this incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap against the Republican challenger. Historical patterns in similar districts further support the current implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKS-03 House Election Winner
KS-03 House Election Winner
$20,649 KL.
$20,649 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
11%
$20,649 KL.
$20,649 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,045 KL.
89%
Republican Party
$14,604 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 83.4% of the vote and now faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election. The KS-03 district, encompassing suburban Kansas City areas, has delivered Davids consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, reflecting its underlying Democratic lean in House contests despite mixed presidential results. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects this incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap against the Republican challenger. Historical patterns in similar districts further support the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,649Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 83.4% of the vote and now faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election. The KS-03 district, encompassing suburban Kansas City areas, has delivered Davids consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, reflecting its underlying Democratic lean in House contests despite mixed presidential results. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects this incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap against the Republican challenger. Historical patterns in similar districts further support the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,649Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 83.4% of the vote and now faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election. The KS-03 district, encompassing suburban Kansas City areas, has delivered Davids consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, reflecting its underlying Democratic lean in House contests despite mixed presidential results. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects this incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap against the Republican challenger. Historical patterns in similar districts further support the current implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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