Rep. Ron Estes (R), seeking a sixth term in the solidly Republican KS-04—a district with an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index—faces no primary challengers, bolstering trader consensus at heavy Republican favoritism amid strong historical margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles. Multiple Democrats, including Chris Carmichael and Katy Tyndell, compete in a fragmented primary set for August 4, but their fundraising lags far behind Estes' $1.6 million cash on hand as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Inside Elections (Solid Republican), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore low flip risk, with no polling or late-breaking developments in the past 30 days altering the entrenched GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKS-04 House Election Winner
KS-04 House Election Winner
$28,832 KL.
$28,832 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$28,832 KL.
$28,832 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,542 KL.
87%
Democratic Party
$12,291 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Ron Estes (R), seeking a sixth term in the solidly Republican KS-04—a district with an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index—faces no primary challengers, bolstering trader consensus at heavy Republican favoritism amid strong historical margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles. Multiple Democrats, including Chris Carmichael and Katy Tyndell, compete in a fragmented primary set for August 4, but their fundraising lags far behind Estes' $1.6 million cash on hand as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Inside Elections (Solid Republican), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore low flip risk, with no polling or late-breaking developments in the past 30 days altering the entrenched GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,832Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Ron Estes (R), seeking a sixth term in the solidly Republican KS-04—a district with an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index—faces no primary challengers, bolstering trader consensus at heavy Republican favoritism amid strong historical margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles. Multiple Democrats, including Chris Carmichael and Katy Tyndell, compete in a fragmented primary set for August 4, but their fundraising lags far behind Estes' $1.6 million cash on hand as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Inside Elections (Solid Republican), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore low flip risk, with no polling or late-breaking developments in the past 30 days altering the entrenched GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$28,832Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Ron Estes (R), seeking a sixth term in the solidly Republican KS-04—a district with an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index—faces no primary challengers, bolstering trader consensus at heavy Republican favoritism amid strong historical margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles. Multiple Democrats, including Chris Carmichael and Katy Tyndell, compete in a fragmented primary set for August 4, but their fundraising lags far behind Estes' $1.6 million cash on hand as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Inside Elections (Solid Republican), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore low flip risk, with no polling or late-breaking developments in the past 30 days altering the entrenched GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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