Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6, 2026, primary for Tennessee’s 5th congressional district, positioning the former state agriculture commissioner against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in the November general election. The seat, which encompasses parts of Middle Tennessee including portions of Davidson, Williamson, and Wilson counties plus Maury, Lewis, and Marshall counties, shifted further Republican after May 2026 redistricting that produced a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+10. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and the replacement of a polarizing incumbent with a candidate viewed as having broader statewide name recognition. The Republican primary outcome and structural district advantages have anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for the GOP nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$52,468 KL.
$52,468 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
13%
$52,468 KL.
$52,468 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$26,441 KL.
86%
Democratic Party
$26,026 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6, 2026, primary for Tennessee’s 5th congressional district, positioning the former state agriculture commissioner against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in the November general election. The seat, which encompasses parts of Middle Tennessee including portions of Davidson, Williamson, and Wilson counties plus Maury, Lewis, and Marshall counties, shifted further Republican after May 2026 redistricting that produced a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+10. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and the replacement of a polarizing incumbent with a candidate viewed as having broader statewide name recognition. The Republican primary outcome and structural district advantages have anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for the GOP nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52,468Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6, 2026, primary for Tennessee’s 5th congressional district, positioning the former state agriculture commissioner against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in the November general election. The seat, which encompasses parts of Middle Tennessee including portions of Davidson, Williamson, and Wilson counties plus Maury, Lewis, and Marshall counties, shifted further Republican after May 2026 redistricting that produced a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+10. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and the replacement of a polarizing incumbent with a candidate viewed as having broader statewide name recognition. The Republican primary outcome and structural district advantages have anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for the GOP nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$52,468Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6, 2026, primary for Tennessee’s 5th congressional district, positioning the former state agriculture commissioner against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in the November general election. The seat, which encompasses parts of Middle Tennessee including portions of Davidson, Williamson, and Wilson counties plus Maury, Lewis, and Marshall counties, shifted further Republican after May 2026 redistricting that produced a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+10. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and the replacement of a polarizing incumbent with a candidate viewed as having broader statewide name recognition. The Republican primary outcome and structural district advantages have anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for the GOP nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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