Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a heavily favorable partisan voting index and Meeks’s consistent prior margins above 70 percent, anchors the current trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent Democratic probability. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 primary without significant opposition while maintaining substantial fundraising resources, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered the outlook, though late-cycle factors such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap in this safe seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$52,972 KL.
$52,972 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$52,972 KL.
$52,972 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,960 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$32,012 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a heavily favorable partisan voting index and Meeks’s consistent prior margins above 70 percent, anchors the current trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent Democratic probability. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 primary without significant opposition while maintaining substantial fundraising resources, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered the outlook, though late-cycle factors such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52,972Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a heavily favorable partisan voting index and Meeks’s consistent prior margins above 70 percent, anchors the current trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent Democratic probability. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 primary without significant opposition while maintaining substantial fundraising resources, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered the outlook, though late-cycle factors such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$52,972Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Gregory Meeks faces Republican nominee George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a heavily favorable partisan voting index and Meeks’s consistent prior margins above 70 percent, anchors the current trader consensus reflected in the 96 percent Democratic probability. Meeks advanced through the June 2026 primary without significant opposition while maintaining substantial fundraising resources, while Marsh secured the Republican nomination in a low-visibility contest. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered the outlook, though late-cycle factors such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow the gap in this safe seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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