Incumbent Republican Riley Moore secured the WV-02 nomination without primary opposition following the May 2026 contest, while Democrat Ace Parsi emerged from a three-candidate Democratic primary. West Virginia's 2nd district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural character and consistent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the market's pricing. This positioning stems from structural factors including incumbency, fundraising edges typical for the majority party in such districts, and limited crossover appeal for Democratic nominees. Late developments such as a major national economic downturn, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates suggest these remain low-probability shifts before the November 2026 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWV-02 House Election Winner
WV-02 House Election Winner
$78,607 KL.
$78,607 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
2%
$78,607 KL.
$78,607 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$50,427 KL.
96%
Democratic Party
$28,181 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore secured the WV-02 nomination without primary opposition following the May 2026 contest, while Democrat Ace Parsi emerged from a three-candidate Democratic primary. West Virginia's 2nd district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural character and consistent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the market's pricing. This positioning stems from structural factors including incumbency, fundraising edges typical for the majority party in such districts, and limited crossover appeal for Democratic nominees. Late developments such as a major national economic downturn, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates suggest these remain low-probability shifts before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$78,607Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore secured the WV-02 nomination without primary opposition following the May 2026 contest, while Democrat Ace Parsi emerged from a three-candidate Democratic primary. West Virginia's 2nd district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural character and consistent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the market's pricing. This positioning stems from structural factors including incumbency, fundraising edges typical for the majority party in such districts, and limited crossover appeal for Democratic nominees. Late developments such as a major national economic downturn, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates suggest these remain low-probability shifts before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$78,607Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Riley Moore secured the WV-02 nomination without primary opposition following the May 2026 contest, while Democrat Ace Parsi emerged from a three-candidate Democratic primary. West Virginia's 2nd district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural character and consistent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the market's pricing. This positioning stems from structural factors including incumbency, fundraising edges typical for the majority party in such districts, and limited crossover appeal for Democratic nominees. Late developments such as a major national economic downturn, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates suggest these remain low-probability shifts before the November 2026 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp