Florida's 12th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Gus Bilirakis's 71 percent victory in 2024. Bilirakis, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary, benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and the district's post-redistricting boundaries that encompass Republican-leaning areas of Pasco County and northwest Hillsborough. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-12 House Election Winner
FL-12 House Election Winner
$57,094 KL.
$57,094 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
9%
$57,094 KL.
$57,094 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,125 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$33,969 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Gus Bilirakis's 71 percent victory in 2024. Bilirakis, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary, benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and the district's post-redistricting boundaries that encompass Republican-leaning areas of Pasco County and northwest Hillsborough. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,094Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Gus Bilirakis's 71 percent victory in 2024. Bilirakis, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary, benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and the district's post-redistricting boundaries that encompass Republican-leaning areas of Pasco County and northwest Hillsborough. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$57,094Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Gus Bilirakis's 71 percent victory in 2024. Bilirakis, first elected in 2007 and unopposed in the August 2026 Republican primary, benefits from strong fundraising, an endorsement from President Trump, and the district's post-redistricting boundaries that encompass Republican-leaning areas of Pasco County and northwest Hillsborough. Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, who prevailed in her party's primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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