Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 78% in Virginia's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's shift to competitive status amid strong Democratic recruiting and recent polling. Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Henrico County prosecutor Shannon Taylor, backed by endorsements from Gov. Abigail Spanberger, Sen. Tim Kaine, and former Govs. Ralph Northam and Terry McAuliffe, in a primary on August 4. A House Majority PAC survey last fall showed them tied, while April 14 polling suggests Democrats could flip the R+3 PVI seat, rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report after a downgrade. Democratic gains in 2025 state races and special elections bolster this momentum ahead of the November 3 general election, though redistricting uncertainty lingers with the April 21 referendum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-01 House Election Winner
VA-01 House Election Winner
$15,335 KL.
$15,335 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
79%
Republican Party
22%
$15,335 KL.
$15,335 KL.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,968 KL.
79%
Republican Party
$367 KL.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 78% in Virginia's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's shift to competitive status amid strong Democratic recruiting and recent polling. Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Henrico County prosecutor Shannon Taylor, backed by endorsements from Gov. Abigail Spanberger, Sen. Tim Kaine, and former Govs. Ralph Northam and Terry McAuliffe, in a primary on August 4. A House Majority PAC survey last fall showed them tied, while April 14 polling suggests Democrats could flip the R+3 PVI seat, rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report after a downgrade. Democratic gains in 2025 state races and special elections bolster this momentum ahead of the November 3 general election, though redistricting uncertainty lingers with the April 21 referendum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,335Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 78% in Virginia's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's shift to competitive status amid strong Democratic recruiting and recent polling. Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Henrico County prosecutor Shannon Taylor, backed by endorsements from Gov. Abigail Spanberger, Sen. Tim Kaine, and former Govs. Ralph Northam and Terry McAuliffe, in a primary on August 4. A House Majority PAC survey last fall showed them tied, while April 14 polling suggests Democrats could flip the R+3 PVI seat, rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report after a downgrade. Democratic gains in 2025 state races and special elections bolster this momentum ahead of the November 3 general election, though redistricting uncertainty lingers with the April 21 referendum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,335Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 78% in Virginia's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's shift to competitive status amid strong Democratic recruiting and recent polling. Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman faces Henrico County prosecutor Shannon Taylor, backed by endorsements from Gov. Abigail Spanberger, Sen. Tim Kaine, and former Govs. Ralph Northam and Terry McAuliffe, in a primary on August 4. A House Majority PAC survey last fall showed them tied, while April 14 polling suggests Democrats could flip the R+3 PVI seat, rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report after a downgrade. Democratic gains in 2025 state races and special elections bolster this momentum ahead of the November 3 general election, though redistricting uncertainty lingers with the April 21 referendum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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