Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers in late April 2026 and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted the boundaries of the 9th district, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Osceola and surrounding counties and moving the seat from a prior Democratic tilt to a Likely Republican rating by the Cook Political Report and similar analysts as of May. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won 55 percent in 2024, faces multiple Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 contests, with the November 3 general election now viewed as competitive rather than a safe hold. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5 percent Republican probability captures this structural change and limited recent polling or campaign developments that might alter the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
$13,339 KL.
$13,339 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
36%
$13,339 KL.
$13,339 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,113 KL.
60%
Democratic Party
$5,227 KL.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers in late April 2026 and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted the boundaries of the 9th district, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Osceola and surrounding counties and moving the seat from a prior Democratic tilt to a Likely Republican rating by the Cook Political Report and similar analysts as of May. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won 55 percent in 2024, faces multiple Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 contests, with the November 3 general election now viewed as competitive rather than a safe hold. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5 percent Republican probability captures this structural change and limited recent polling or campaign developments that might alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,339Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers in late April 2026 and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted the boundaries of the 9th district, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Osceola and surrounding counties and moving the seat from a prior Democratic tilt to a Likely Republican rating by the Cook Political Report and similar analysts as of May. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won 55 percent in 2024, faces multiple Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 contests, with the November 3 general election now viewed as competitive rather than a safe hold. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5 percent Republican probability captures this structural change and limited recent polling or campaign developments that might alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,339Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by Florida lawmakers in late April 2026 and signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted the boundaries of the 9th district, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Osceola and surrounding counties and moving the seat from a prior Democratic tilt to a Likely Republican rating by the Cook Political Report and similar analysts as of May. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won 55 percent in 2024, faces multiple Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 contests, with the November 3 general election now viewed as competitive rather than a safe hold. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5 percent Republican probability captures this structural change and limited recent polling or campaign developments that might alter the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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