Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser's commanding position in Pennsylvania's safely red 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican across forecasters with an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 38-point 2024 victory margin there, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. Meuser, unopposed in recent primaries and victorious by 40-point margins in 2022 and 2024, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the May 19 closed primaries after other challengers withdrew; fundraising remains competitive with Wallace holding slight cash-on-hand edge. Absent polls, the lack of competitiveness reflects historical dominance. Upsets could stem from scandals, primary surprises, or a national Democratic midterm wave targeting the GOP's slim 218-214 House majority.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-09 House Election Winner
PA-09 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,429 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$0 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser's commanding position in Pennsylvania's safely red 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican across forecasters with an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 38-point 2024 victory margin there, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. Meuser, unopposed in recent primaries and victorious by 40-point margins in 2022 and 2024, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the May 19 closed primaries after other challengers withdrew; fundraising remains competitive with Wallace holding slight cash-on-hand edge. Absent polls, the lack of competitiveness reflects historical dominance. Upsets could stem from scandals, primary surprises, or a national Democratic midterm wave targeting the GOP's slim 218-214 House majority.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,429Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser's commanding position in Pennsylvania's safely red 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican across forecasters with an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 38-point 2024 victory margin there, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. Meuser, unopposed in recent primaries and victorious by 40-point margins in 2022 and 2024, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the May 19 closed primaries after other challengers withdrew; fundraising remains competitive with Wallace holding slight cash-on-hand edge. Absent polls, the lack of competitiveness reflects historical dominance. Upsets could stem from scandals, primary surprises, or a national Democratic midterm wave targeting the GOP's slim 218-214 House majority.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,429Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Dan Meuser's commanding position in Pennsylvania's safely red 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican across forecasters with an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump's 38-point 2024 victory margin there, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for the GOP in the November 2026 general election. Meuser, unopposed in recent primaries and victorious by 40-point margins in 2022 and 2024, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the May 19 closed primaries after other challengers withdrew; fundraising remains competitive with Wallace holding slight cash-on-hand edge. Absent polls, the lack of competitiveness reflects historical dominance. Upsets could stem from scandals, primary surprises, or a national Democratic midterm wave targeting the GOP's slim 218-214 House majority.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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