James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other rivals in polling averages and fundraising. Legal challenges to his residency status were rejected by a Leon County judge in late July, keeping him on the ballot alongside competitors including Jay Collins and Paul Renner. Primary results, expected the same evening, will determine vote share and influence any post-election statements on the outcome. Prediction markets reflect trader focus on whether Fishback issues a concession shortly after polls close, given his consistent underdog positioning and the compressed timeline between primary day and potential general-election preparations. No major campaign announcements have altered expectations in the final days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Aug 18, 2026
August 18
36%
August 19
60%
August 20
55%
$204 KL.
August 18
$4 KL.
36%
August 19
$200 KL.
60%
August 20
$0 KL.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other rivals in polling averages and fundraising. Legal challenges to his residency status were rejected by a Leon County judge in late July, keeping him on the ballot alongside competitors including Jay Collins and Paul Renner. Primary results, expected the same evening, will determine vote share and influence any post-election statements on the outcome. Prediction markets reflect trader focus on whether Fishback issues a concession shortly after polls close, given his consistent underdog positioning and the compressed timeline between primary day and potential general-election preparations. No major campaign announcements have altered expectations in the final days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$204Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other rivals in polling averages and fundraising. Legal challenges to his residency status were rejected by a Leon County judge in late July, keeping him on the ballot alongside competitors including Jay Collins and Paul Renner. Primary results, expected the same evening, will determine vote share and influence any post-election statements on the outcome. Prediction markets reflect trader focus on whether Fishback issues a concession shortly after polls close, given his consistent underdog positioning and the compressed timeline between primary day and potential general-election preparations. No major campaign announcements have altered expectations in the final days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Khối lượng
$204Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in Florida’s August 18 gubernatorial primary, trails frontrunner Byron Donalds and other rivals in polling averages and fundraising. Legal challenges to his residency status were rejected by a Leon County judge in late July, keeping him on the ballot alongside competitors including Jay Collins and Paul Renner. Primary results, expected the same evening, will determine vote share and influence any post-election statements on the outcome. Prediction markets reflect trader focus on whether Fishback issues a concession shortly after polls close, given his consistent underdog positioning and the compressed timeline between primary day and potential general-election preparations. No major campaign announcements have altered expectations in the final days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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