Catalina Lauf holds the lead in trader consensus for the August 18, 2026, Republican primary in Florida’s 19th Congressional District, an open seat created by Rep. Byron Donalds’s gubernatorial bid. Her positioning reflects prior congressional campaign experience, early entry, and visibility in a fragmented field that qualified eleven Republicans after the recent filing deadline. Jim Schwartzel follows as the next most favored contender, drawing support from his local broadcasting business ties and substantial self-funding. Lower probabilities for Jim Oberweis, Spencer Roach, Bob Rommel, and Madison Cawthorn align with their comparatively limited recent fundraising momentum or established profiles in the district. An upcoming June 27 debate and ongoing attack ads could still shift dynamics among the crowded contenders before primary voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFL-19 Republican Primary Winner
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Jim Schwartzel 48.6%
Catalina Lauf 23%
Jim Oberweis 16.0%
Madison Cawthorn 3.2%
$31,729 KL.
$31,729 KL.
Jim Schwartzel
49%
Catalina Lauf
23%
Jim Oberweis
10%
Madison Cawthorn
3%
Spencer Roach
3%
Bob Rommel
1%
Jim Schwartzel 48.6%
Catalina Lauf 23%
Jim Oberweis 16.0%
Madison Cawthorn 3.2%
$31,729 KL.
$31,729 KL.
Jim Schwartzel
49%
Catalina Lauf
23%
Jim Oberweis
10%
Madison Cawthorn
3%
Spencer Roach
3%
Bob Rommel
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Catalina Lauf holds the lead in trader consensus for the August 18, 2026, Republican primary in Florida’s 19th Congressional District, an open seat created by Rep. Byron Donalds’s gubernatorial bid. Her positioning reflects prior congressional campaign experience, early entry, and visibility in a fragmented field that qualified eleven Republicans after the recent filing deadline. Jim Schwartzel follows as the next most favored contender, drawing support from his local broadcasting business ties and substantial self-funding. Lower probabilities for Jim Oberweis, Spencer Roach, Bob Rommel, and Madison Cawthorn align with their comparatively limited recent fundraising momentum or established profiles in the district. An upcoming June 27 debate and ongoing attack ads could still shift dynamics among the crowded contenders before primary voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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