The closely matched pricing across West Virginia's 2026 U.S. Senate turnout bins reflects uncertainty around participation in a low-competition race featuring incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. The state's heavily Republican registration advantage, historical patterns of subdued off-year turnout, and the May primary's modest participation levels have kept expectations fluid, with traders pricing in limited mobilization on both sides. Upcoming factors such as early voting trends, candidate field operations, or broader national political dynamics could widen spreads if they boost or suppress engagement before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWest Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
500K-550K 45%
600K-650K 45%
650K+ 45%
450K-500K 44%
<400K
43%
400K-450K
44%
450K-500K
44%
500K-550K
45%
550K-600K
43%
600K-650K
45%
650K+
45%
500K-550K 45%
600K-650K 45%
650K+ 45%
450K-500K 44%
<400K
43%
400K-450K
44%
450K-500K
44%
500K-550K
45%
550K-600K
43%
600K-650K
45%
650K+
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched pricing across West Virginia's 2026 U.S. Senate turnout bins reflects uncertainty around participation in a low-competition race featuring incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. The state's heavily Republican registration advantage, historical patterns of subdued off-year turnout, and the May primary's modest participation levels have kept expectations fluid, with traders pricing in limited mobilization on both sides. Upcoming factors such as early voting trends, candidate field operations, or broader national political dynamics could widen spreads if they boost or suppress engagement before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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