Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker's dominant position in New Jersey, a state with a Democratic trifecta and consistent Senate victories (53-57% margins recently), underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to retain the seat in the November 3, 2026, general election. Booker's $22 million cash-on-hand dwarfs the fragmented Republican primary field's fundraising (under $100,000 combined), featuring low-profile candidates like Alex Zdan and Richard Tabor, with forecasters unanimously rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. No notable developments have emerged since the March 23 filing deadline finalized the ballot. Primaries on June 2 could clarify the GOP nominee, though a shift would require a scandal, health event for Booker, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Jersey Senate Election Winner
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
$16,481 KL.
$16,481 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
5%
$16,481 KL.
$16,481 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$7,991 KL.
92%
Republican
$8,489 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker's dominant position in New Jersey, a state with a Democratic trifecta and consistent Senate victories (53-57% margins recently), underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to retain the seat in the November 3, 2026, general election. Booker's $22 million cash-on-hand dwarfs the fragmented Republican primary field's fundraising (under $100,000 combined), featuring low-profile candidates like Alex Zdan and Richard Tabor, with forecasters unanimously rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. No notable developments have emerged since the March 23 filing deadline finalized the ballot. Primaries on June 2 could clarify the GOP nominee, though a shift would require a scandal, health event for Booker, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,481Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker's dominant position in New Jersey, a state with a Democratic trifecta and consistent Senate victories (53-57% margins recently), underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to retain the seat in the November 3, 2026, general election. Booker's $22 million cash-on-hand dwarfs the fragmented Republican primary field's fundraising (under $100,000 combined), featuring low-profile candidates like Alex Zdan and Richard Tabor, with forecasters unanimously rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. No notable developments have emerged since the March 23 filing deadline finalized the ballot. Primaries on June 2 could clarify the GOP nominee, though a shift would require a scandal, health event for Booker, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$16,481Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker's dominant position in New Jersey, a state with a Democratic trifecta and consistent Senate victories (53-57% margins recently), underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91.5% to retain the seat in the November 3, 2026, general election. Booker's $22 million cash-on-hand dwarfs the fragmented Republican primary field's fundraising (under $100,000 combined), featuring low-profile candidates like Alex Zdan and Richard Tabor, with forecasters unanimously rating the race Safe or Solid Democratic. No notable developments have emerged since the March 23 filing deadline finalized the ballot. Primaries on June 2 could clarify the GOP nominee, though a shift would require a scandal, health event for Booker, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp