Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat based on its partisan voting index and recent presidential results, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024. The race opened after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. In the May 2026 primaries, Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination while Zach Dembo won the Democratic contest. Polling since the primaries has shown a narrower margin than historical benchmarks for the district, with recent surveys placing Alvarado ahead of Dembo by low single digits. These factors, combined with the district's structural Republican advantage, underpin traders' current assessment of party-level probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$33,631 KL.
$33,631 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
27%
$33,631 KL.
$33,631 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,395 KL.
74%
Democratic Party
$19,236 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat based on its partisan voting index and recent presidential results, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024. The race opened after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. In the May 2026 primaries, Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination while Zach Dembo won the Democratic contest. Polling since the primaries has shown a narrower margin than historical benchmarks for the district, with recent surveys placing Alvarado ahead of Dembo by low single digits. These factors, combined with the district's structural Republican advantage, underpin traders' current assessment of party-level probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,631Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat based on its partisan voting index and recent presidential results, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024. The race opened after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. In the May 2026 primaries, Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination while Zach Dembo won the Democratic contest. Polling since the primaries has shown a narrower margin than historical benchmarks for the district, with recent surveys placing Alvarado ahead of Dembo by low single digits. These factors, combined with the district's structural Republican advantage, underpin traders' current assessment of party-level probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,631Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat based on its partisan voting index and recent presidential results, including a 15-point Trump margin in 2024. The race opened after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. In the May 2026 primaries, Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination while Zach Dembo won the Democratic contest. Polling since the primaries has shown a narrower margin than historical benchmarks for the district, with recent surveys placing Alvarado ahead of Dembo by low single digits. These factors, combined with the district's structural Republican advantage, underpin traders' current assessment of party-level probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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